Julianne Moore has emerged as the clear market frontrunner for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, with traders assigning her a 64% implied probability driven by strong early buzz around her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy “The Debut.” Recent Telluride screenings and her Golden Icon Award at the Zurich Film Festival have reinforced industry narrative around the film’s warm reception and Moore’s career-best comedic turn, positioning her ahead of competitors like Inde Navarrette in “Obsession” at 17%. Other names including Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira trade in the single digits amid limited festival exposure so far. With nominations voting still months away and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the market reflects speculative positioning based on festival momentum rather than locked consensus, leaving room for shifts once additional 2026 releases screen and precursor results accumulate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscar 2027: Miglior Attrice
Oscar 2027: Miglior Attrice
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 17%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,124 Vol.
$132,124 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
64%
Inde Navarrette
17%
Renate Reinsve
9%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
2%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 17%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,124 Vol.
$132,124 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
$88,488 Vol.
64%
Inde Navarrette
$25,077 Vol.
17%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Vol.
9%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 Vol.
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 Vol.
2%
Ruth Madeley
$711 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 Vol.
1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 Vol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore has emerged as the clear market frontrunner for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, with traders assigning her a 64% implied probability driven by strong early buzz around her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy “The Debut.” Recent Telluride screenings and her Golden Icon Award at the Zurich Film Festival have reinforced industry narrative around the film’s warm reception and Moore’s career-best comedic turn, positioning her ahead of competitors like Inde Navarrette in “Obsession” at 17%. Other names including Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira trade in the single digits amid limited festival exposure so far. With nominations voting still months away and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the market reflects speculative positioning based on festival momentum rather than locked consensus, leaving room for shifts once additional 2026 releases screen and precursor results accumulate.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$132,124Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore has emerged as the clear market frontrunner for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, with traders assigning her a 64% implied probability driven by strong early buzz around her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy “The Debut.” Recent Telluride screenings and her Golden Icon Award at the Zurich Film Festival have reinforced industry narrative around the film’s warm reception and Moore’s career-best comedic turn, positioning her ahead of competitors like Inde Navarrette in “Obsession” at 17%. Other names including Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira trade in the single digits amid limited festival exposure so far. With nominations voting still months away and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the market reflects speculative positioning based on festival momentum rather than locked consensus, leaving room for shifts once additional 2026 releases screen and precursor results accumulate.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$132,124Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore has emerged as the clear market frontrunner for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, with traders assigning her a 64% implied probability driven by strong early buzz around her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy “The Debut.” Recent Telluride screenings and her Golden Icon Award at the Zurich Film Festival have reinforced industry narrative around the film’s warm reception and Moore’s career-best comedic turn, positioning her ahead of competitors like Inde Navarrette in “Obsession” at 17%. Other names including Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira trade in the single digits amid limited festival exposure so far. With nominations voting still months away and no guild or critics’ awards yet decided, the market reflects speculative positioning based on festival momentum rather than locked consensus, leaving room for shifts once additional 2026 releases screen and precursor results accumulate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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