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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

No Bond chosen 8%

Jack Lowdon 6.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

No Bond chosen 8%

Jack Lowdon 6.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Callum Turner

$153 Vol.

35%

Jacob Elordi

$106 Vol.

11%

No Bond chosen

$107 Vol.

8%

Jack Lowdon

$94 Vol.

7%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$364 Vol.

6%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

6%

Harris Dickinson

$123 Vol.

5%

Josh O'Connor

$1,524 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

5%

Theo James

$178 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

James Norton

$124 Vol.

10%

Pierce Brosnan

$139 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner’s 35% market-implied probability reflects his status as the consensus frontrunner following Amazon MGM’s May 2026 confirmation that casting for the next 007—directed by Denis Villeneuve—has officially begun under veteran casting director Nina Gold. Recent British press coverage and betting-market movement have positioned the British actor, known for Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts, ahead of the pack due to his age, availability for a multi-film commitment, and longstanding speculation. Jacob Elordi’s recent Oscar nomination and reported meetings have lifted his profile, yet the field stays fragmented with no single alternative breaking double digits. Traders appear to be pricing in a deliberate, extended process that could extend well into late 2026 before any announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,604
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner’s 35% market-implied probability reflects his status as the consensus frontrunner following Amazon MGM’s May 2026 confirmation that casting for the next 007—directed by Denis Villeneuve—has officially begun under veteran casting director Nina Gold. Recent British press coverage and betting-market movement have positioned the British actor, known for Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts, ahead of the pack due to his age, availability for a multi-film commitment, and longstanding speculation. Jacob Elordi’s recent Oscar nomination and reported meetings have lifted his profile, yet the field stays fragmented with no single alternative breaking double digits. Traders appear to be pricing in a deliberate, extended process that could extend well into late 2026 before any announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,604
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next James Bond actor?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Callum Turner" a 35%, seguito da "Jacob Elordi" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 35¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Next James Bond actor?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 18, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Next James Bond actor?", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next James Bond actor?" è "Callum Turner" a 35%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jacob Elordi" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next James Bond actor?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.