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icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Nessun Bond scelto 36.4%

Jack Lowden 20.2%

Jack Barton 12.0%

Callum Turner 7.8%

Polymarket

$832,978 Vol.

Nessun Bond scelto 36.4%

Jack Lowden 20.2%

Jack Barton 12.0%

Callum Turner 7.8%

Polymarket

$832,978 Vol.

icon for Nessun Bond scelto

Nessun Bond scelto

$380,039 Vol.

36%

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$149,411 Vol.

20%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$37,604 Vol.

12%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$63,297 Vol.

8%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$12,461 Vol.

2%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$8,673 Vol.

1%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$17,400 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$10,096 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$9,817 Vol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$12,895 Vol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$20,492 Vol.

1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$7,619 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$7,405 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$12,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$26,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$6,453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$6,671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$9,632 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$3,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$6,648 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$7,395 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$6,777 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$4,249 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$4,993 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing search for the next James Bond under Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve has yet to yield an official announcement, positioning “no choice” as the market leader amid active auditions and a shortlist of British actors in their 30s. Recent comments from writer Steven Knight and former Bond Pierce Brosnan, who suggested the studio might select an unknown talent, have reinforced uncertainty, while Gary Oldman’s public endorsement has lifted Jack Lowden’s implied odds. Jack Barton’s relative obscurity and reported screen-test momentum keep him competitive, with Callum Turner and Harris Dickinson also seeing support tied to their established profiles and fit for a younger reboot. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of a late-2026 reveal against historical precedent for prolonged casting cycles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$832,978
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing search for the next James Bond under Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve has yet to yield an official announcement, positioning “no choice” as the market leader amid active auditions and a shortlist of British actors in their 30s. Recent comments from writer Steven Knight and former Bond Pierce Brosnan, who suggested the studio might select an unknown talent, have reinforced uncertainty, while Gary Oldman’s public endorsement has lifted Jack Lowden’s implied odds. Jack Barton’s relative obscurity and reported screen-test momentum keep him competitive, with Callum Turner and Harris Dickinson also seeing support tied to their established profiles and fit for a younger reboot. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of a late-2026 reveal against historical precedent for prolonged casting cycles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$832,978
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 24 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 36%, seguito da "Jack Lowden" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 36¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $833K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 18, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 24 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 36%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jack Lowden" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.