Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s output over the August 8-10 weekend because recent three-day windows have clustered in that moderate band once major catalysts such as the August 4 SpaceX earnings call fade. Historical patterns show Musk averaging roughly 25-50 posts daily, yet weekend volume often dips without fresh company news, product launches, or viral controversies to fuel replies and memes. The next-highest probability on sub-40 tweets reflects the quiet calendar and lack of scheduled events, while higher brackets remain discounted absent any late-breaking developments that could spike engagement. Market-implied odds therefore price in steady but unspectacular activity typical of non-event periods.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 48%
<40 25%
65-89 22%
90-114 5%
NUOVO
$29,983 Vol.
NUOVO
$29,983 Vol.
10 ago 2026
<40
25%
40-64
48%
65-89
22%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
<40 25%
65-89 22%
90-114 5%
NUOVO
$29,983 Vol.
NUOVO
$29,983 Vol.
10 ago 2026
<40
$4,100 Vol.
25%
40-64
$2,384 Vol.
48%
65-89
$3,386 Vol.
22%
90-114
$2,858 Vol.
5%
115-139
$4,272 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,943 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$3,176 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,285 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s output over the August 8-10 weekend because recent three-day windows have clustered in that moderate band once major catalysts such as the August 4 SpaceX earnings call fade. Historical patterns show Musk averaging roughly 25-50 posts daily, yet weekend volume often dips without fresh company news, product launches, or viral controversies to fuel replies and memes. The next-highest probability on sub-40 tweets reflects the quiet calendar and lack of scheduled events, while higher brackets remain discounted absent any late-breaking developments that could spike engagement. Market-implied odds therefore price in steady but unspectacular activity typical of non-event periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$29,983Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s output over the August 8-10 weekend because recent three-day windows have clustered in that moderate band once major catalysts such as the August 4 SpaceX earnings call fade. Historical patterns show Musk averaging roughly 25-50 posts daily, yet weekend volume often dips without fresh company news, product launches, or viral controversies to fuel replies and memes. The next-highest probability on sub-40 tweets reflects the quiet calendar and lack of scheduled events, while higher brackets remain discounted absent any late-breaking developments that could spike engagement. Market-implied odds therefore price in steady but unspectacular activity typical of non-event periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$29,983Data di fine
10 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s output over the August 8-10 weekend because recent three-day windows have clustered in that moderate band once major catalysts such as the August 4 SpaceX earnings call fade. Historical patterns show Musk averaging roughly 25-50 posts daily, yet weekend volume often dips without fresh company news, product launches, or viral controversies to fuel replies and memes. The next-highest probability on sub-40 tweets reflects the quiet calendar and lack of scheduled events, while higher brackets remain discounted absent any late-breaking developments that could spike engagement. Market-implied odds therefore price in steady but unspectacular activity typical of non-event periods.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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