The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar at 34% implied probability due to its strong summer release, 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, and widespread Academy screenings generating early momentum behind Christopher Nolan’s ambitious take on Homer’s epic. Project Hail Mary (22%) follows closely on the strength of its timely Andy Weir adaptation, Ryan Gosling’s lead performance, and Lord-Miller direction, while The Adventures of Cliff Booth (22.5%) and other announced contenders such as Dune: Part Three benefit from high-profile source material and talent. With most named titles clustered between 16–30% and dozens of unannounced projects at 50%, the market reflects a wide-open field typical of late-summer 2026, where guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will determine which adaptations gain decisive traction ahead of the ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 34%
The Social Reckoning 33%
All of a Sudden 33%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 32%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 mar 2027
The Odyssey
34%
The Social Reckoning
33%
All of a Sudden
33%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
32%
The Whisper Man
31%
The Black Ball
30%
Wildwood
29%
Project Hail Mary
28%
Ink
27%
Saturn Return
27%
The Invite
26%
Cry to Heaven
26%
Clarissa
26%
Dune: Part Three
19%
Toy Story 5
18%
The Odyssey 34%
The Social Reckoning 33%
All of a Sudden 33%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 32%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 mar 2027
The Odyssey
$1 Vol.
34%
The Social Reckoning
$0 Vol.
33%
All of a Sudden
$0 Vol.
33%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$0 Vol.
32%
The Whisper Man
$0 Vol.
31%
The Black Ball
$0 Vol.
30%
Wildwood
$0 Vol.
29%
Project Hail Mary
$0 Vol.
28%
Ink
$0 Vol.
27%
Saturn Return
$0 Vol.
27%
The Invite
$0 Vol.
26%
Cry to Heaven
$0 Vol.
26%
Clarissa
$0 Vol.
26%
Dune: Part Three
$0 Vol.
19%
Toy Story 5
$100 Vol.
18%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar at 34% implied probability due to its strong summer release, 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, and widespread Academy screenings generating early momentum behind Christopher Nolan’s ambitious take on Homer’s epic. Project Hail Mary (22%) follows closely on the strength of its timely Andy Weir adaptation, Ryan Gosling’s lead performance, and Lord-Miller direction, while The Adventures of Cliff Booth (22.5%) and other announced contenders such as Dune: Part Three benefit from high-profile source material and talent. With most named titles clustered between 16–30% and dozens of unannounced projects at 50%, the market reflects a wide-open field typical of late-summer 2026, where guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will determine which adaptations gain decisive traction ahead of the ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volume
$101Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar at 34% implied probability due to its strong summer release, 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, and widespread Academy screenings generating early momentum behind Christopher Nolan’s ambitious take on Homer’s epic. Project Hail Mary (22%) follows closely on the strength of its timely Andy Weir adaptation, Ryan Gosling’s lead performance, and Lord-Miller direction, while The Adventures of Cliff Booth (22.5%) and other announced contenders such as Dune: Part Three benefit from high-profile source material and talent. With most named titles clustered between 16–30% and dozens of unannounced projects at 50%, the market reflects a wide-open field typical of late-summer 2026, where guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will determine which adaptations gain decisive traction ahead of the ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar at 34% implied probability due to its strong summer release, 96% Rotten Tomatoes score, and widespread Academy screenings generating early momentum behind Christopher Nolan’s ambitious take on Homer’s epic. Project Hail Mary (22%) follows closely on the strength of its timely Andy Weir adaptation, Ryan Gosling’s lead performance, and Lord-Miller direction, while The Adventures of Cliff Booth (22.5%) and other announced contenders such as Dune: Part Three benefit from high-profile source material and talent. With most named titles clustered between 16–30% and dozens of unannounced projects at 50%, the market reflects a wide-open field typical of late-summer 2026, where guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will determine which adaptations gain decisive traction ahead of the ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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