The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening for Spider-Man: Brand New Day has produced an unusually wide band of possible second-weekend outcomes, with equal market-implied odds across every range reflecting trader uncertainty over the film’s legs. Strong early word-of-mouth, positive critic and audience scores, and the absence of major counterprogramming support a milder drop, yet historical precedents for all-time opening records show holdovers can vary dramatically depending on front-loaded versus sustained interest. Traders are watching daily tracking updates, social engagement metrics, and any midweek adjustments through the first full week for signals that could clarify whether the sophomore frame lands closer to 50 percent retention or a steeper decline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2° Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2° Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
150-160 milioni 45%
130-140 milioni 43%
140-150 milioni 43%
<130 milioni 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
<130 milioni
43%
130-140 milioni
43%
140-150 milioni
43%
150-160 milioni
45%
160-170 milioni
43%
170-180 milioni
43%
180 milioni+
43%
150-160 milioni 45%
130-140 milioni 43%
140-150 milioni 43%
<130 milioni 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 ago 2026
<130 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
130-140 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
140-150 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
150-160 milioni
$0 Vol.
45%
160-170 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
170-180 milioni
$0 Vol.
43%
180 milioni+
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening for Spider-Man: Brand New Day has produced an unusually wide band of possible second-weekend outcomes, with equal market-implied odds across every range reflecting trader uncertainty over the film’s legs. Strong early word-of-mouth, positive critic and audience scores, and the absence of major counterprogramming support a milder drop, yet historical precedents for all-time opening records show holdovers can vary dramatically depending on front-loaded versus sustained interest. Traders are watching daily tracking updates, social engagement metrics, and any midweek adjustments through the first full week for signals that could clarify whether the sophomore frame lands closer to 50 percent retention or a steeper decline.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening for Spider-Man: Brand New Day has produced an unusually wide band of possible second-weekend outcomes, with equal market-implied odds across every range reflecting trader uncertainty over the film’s legs. Strong early word-of-mouth, positive critic and audience scores, and the absence of major counterprogramming support a milder drop, yet historical precedents for all-time opening records show holdovers can vary dramatically depending on front-loaded versus sustained interest. Traders are watching daily tracking updates, social engagement metrics, and any midweek adjustments through the first full week for signals that could clarify whether the sophomore frame lands closer to 50 percent retention or a steeper decline.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening for Spider-Man: Brand New Day has produced an unusually wide band of possible second-weekend outcomes, with equal market-implied odds across every range reflecting trader uncertainty over the film’s legs. Strong early word-of-mouth, positive critic and audience scores, and the absence of major counterprogramming support a milder drop, yet historical precedents for all-time opening records show holdovers can vary dramatically depending on front-loaded versus sustained interest. Traders are watching daily tracking updates, social engagement metrics, and any midweek adjustments through the first full week for signals that could clarify whether the sophomore frame lands closer to 50 percent retention or a steeper decline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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