Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?
Mondo·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?
Mondo·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?

39%+ 89%

36-39% 11.3%

33-36% 1.5%

<30% 1.2%

Polymarket

$50,803 Vol.

39%+ 89%

36-39% 11.3%

33-36% 1.5%

<30% 1.2%

Polymarket

$50,803 Vol.

<30%

$4,849 Vol.

1%

30-33%

$5,215 Vol.

1%

33-36%

$5,975 Vol.

2%

36-39%

$11,120 Vol.

11%

39%+

$23,644 Vol.

89%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent September 2026 polling shows Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, consolidating second place ahead of the October 4 first round. AtlasIntel’s latest survey (September 11–16) placed him at 41.7 percent, up sharply from 37.4 percent the prior week, while Datafolha recorded 36 percent and other releases ranged from 30–37 percent. These figures reflect steady right-wing consolidation behind the PL ticket, limited vote fragmentation among smaller conservative candidates, and ongoing polarization that has narrowed Lula’s first-round lead. With the election days away and no major late shifts reported, traders view a first-round share at or above 39 percent as the most probable outcome under current conditions.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election.

The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$50,803
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent September 2026 polling shows Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, consolidating second place ahead of the October 4 first round. AtlasIntel’s latest survey (September 11–16) placed him at 41.7 percent, up sharply from 37.4 percent the prior week, while Datafolha recorded 36 percent and other releases ranged from 30–37 percent. These figures reflect steady right-wing consolidation behind the PL ticket, limited vote fragmentation among smaller conservative candidates, and ongoing polarization that has narrowed Lula’s first-round lead. With the election days away and no major late shifts reported, traders view a first-round share at or above 39 percent as the most probable outcome under current conditions.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election.

The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$50,803
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Lula otterrà tra il 41% e il 44% dei voti validi al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà tra il 41% e il 44% dei voti validi al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

41%
Sì
icon for Renan Santos otterrà tra il 2% e il 4% dei voti validi al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Renan Santos otterrà tra il 2% e il 4% dei voti validi al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

44%
Sì
icon for Augusto Cury otterrà tra il 4% e il 6% dei voti validi al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Augusto Cury otterrà tra il 4% e il 6% dei voti validi al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

43%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "39%+" a 89%, seguito da "36-39%" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?" ha generato $50.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 15, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?" è "39%+" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "36-39%" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: Flávio Bolsonaro Percentuale di Voti?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.