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icon for Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto

Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto

Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto

Deltan Dallagnol 38%

Alexandre Curi 36%

Karen Guerreiro 27%

Cristina Reis Graeml 23%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Deltan Dallagnol 38%

Alexandre Curi 36%

Karen Guerreiro 27%

Cristina Reis Graeml 23%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Deltan Dallagnol

Deltan Dallagnol

$40 Vol.

22%

icon for Alexandre Curi

Alexandre Curi

$40 Vol.

26%

icon for Karen Guerreiro

Karen Guerreiro

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Cristina Reis Graeml

Cristina Reis Graeml

$20 Vol.

23%

icon for Gleisi

Gleisi

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Joaquim do MLB

Joaquim do MLB

$61 Vol.

20%

icon for Marcelo Marcelino

Marcelo Marcelino

$40 Vol.

8%

icon for Dr. Rosinha

Dr. Rosinha

$70 Vol.

7%

icon for Filipe Barros

Filipe Barros

$20 Vol.

23%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Paraná show a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up in October 2026, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered near the top in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s percent range. Trader odds reflect this dispersion, as no candidate has consolidated a clear lead amid multiple viable contenders from different parties and coalitions. Deltan’s candidacy remains under electoral court review over eligibility questions, adding uncertainty. Late-campaign polling shifts, court rulings on ballot access, major endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could quickly reorder the standings before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$331
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Paraná show a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up in October 2026, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered near the top in the low-to-mid 20s to low 30s percent range. Trader odds reflect this dispersion, as no candidate has consolidated a clear lead amid multiple viable contenders from different parties and coalitions. Deltan’s candidacy remains under electoral court review over eligibility questions, adding uncertainty. Late-campaign polling shifts, court rulings on ballot access, major endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could quickly reorder the standings before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$331
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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"Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Karen Guerreiro" a 27%, seguito da "Alexandre Curi" a 26%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 27¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto" è "Karen Guerreiro" a 27%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Alexandre Curi" a 26%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato del Paraná: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.