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icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto

Luciano do MLB 38%

Milton Cardoso 29%

Ric Jones 25%

Tania Peres 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Luciano do MLB 38%

Milton Cardoso 29%

Ric Jones 25%

Tania Peres 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$81 Vol.

38%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$20 Vol.

29%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$59 Vol.

25%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$59 Vol.

25%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$20 Vol.

25%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$20 Vol.

25%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$20 Vol.

24%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$20 Vol.

23%

icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$20 Vol.

23%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$71 Vol.

23%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$20 Vol.

20%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$67 Vol.

18%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election remains highly fragmented, with recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys showing technical ties or narrow margins among multiple contenders including Manuela D'Ávila, Marcel van Hattem, Germano Rigotto, and Paulo Pimenta. No incumbent is seeking re-election for one seat, opening space for candidates across left, center, and right parties in a state with polarized voter bases. Trader probabilities for second place cluster tightly because polls reflect shifting first- and second-choice support without a dominant frontrunner, and the single-round system amplifies small swings in turnout or coalitions. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and state-specific economic signals could consolidate second-place positioning among the top tier before voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$496
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election remains highly fragmented, with recent Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas surveys showing technical ties or narrow margins among multiple contenders including Manuela D'Ávila, Marcel van Hattem, Germano Rigotto, and Paulo Pimenta. No incumbent is seeking re-election for one seat, opening space for candidates across left, center, and right parties in a state with polarized voter bases. Trader probabilities for second place cluster tightly because polls reflect shifting first- and second-choice support without a dominant frontrunner, and the single-round system amplifies small swings in turnout or coalitions. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and state-specific economic signals could consolidate second-place positioning among the top tier before voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$496
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Pimenta win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

32%
icon for Il Colonnello Hélio otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni al Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

Il Colonnello Hélio otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni al Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

35%
Sì
icon for Benedita da Silva otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

Benedita da Silva otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

24%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Luciano do MLB" a 38%, seguito da "Milton Cardoso" a 29%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 38¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 38% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto" è "Luciano do MLB" a 38%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 38% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Milton Cardoso" a 29%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.