Recent polling indicates Benedita da Silva (PT) maintains a narrow edge in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate contest, bolstered by her nomination on the ticket led by gubernatorial candidate Eduardo Paes and her established base among PT and evangelical voters. The right-leaning field remains fragmented after Flávio Bolsonaro shifted to a presidential bid, while investigations have sidelined other potential PL and allied contenders such as Cláudio Castro. Limited surveys since July have left traders pricing a close race for first place among Silva, Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL). With the October 4 vote roughly seven weeks away, fresh polling, candidate endorsements, or late legal developments could widen the gap or consolidate support behind one contender.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMarcelo Crivella 80%
Luciano Mattos 78%
Michelly Xavier 78%
Benedita da Silva 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Marcelo Crivella
80%
Luciano Mattos
78%
Michelly Xavier
78%
Benedita da Silva
43%
Carlos Portinho
37%
Pedro Paulo
32%
André Monteiro
30%
Waguinho
29%
Luiz Eugenio
28%
Monica Benicio
28%
Paula Falcão
27%
Marcos Dias
26%
Ó Clemente
22%
Vinicius Benevides
20%
Helio Secco
3%
Carlos Jordy
39%
Marcelo Crivella 80%
Luciano Mattos 78%
Michelly Xavier 78%
Benedita da Silva 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Marcelo Crivella
$67 Vol.
80%
Luciano Mattos
$67 Vol.
78%
Michelly Xavier
$67 Vol.
78%
Benedita da Silva
$67 Vol.
43%
Carlos Portinho
$67 Vol.
37%
Pedro Paulo
$67 Vol.
32%
André Monteiro
$67 Vol.
30%
Waguinho
$67 Vol.
29%
Luiz Eugenio
$123 Vol.
28%
Monica Benicio
$67 Vol.
28%
Paula Falcão
$93 Vol.
27%
Marcos Dias
$67 Vol.
26%
Ó Clemente
$67 Vol.
22%
Vinicius Benevides
$98 Vol.
20%
Helio Secco
$93 Vol.
3%
Carlos Jordy
$87 Vol.
39%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling indicates Benedita da Silva (PT) maintains a narrow edge in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate contest, bolstered by her nomination on the ticket led by gubernatorial candidate Eduardo Paes and her established base among PT and evangelical voters. The right-leaning field remains fragmented after Flávio Bolsonaro shifted to a presidential bid, while investigations have sidelined other potential PL and allied contenders such as Cláudio Castro. Limited surveys since July have left traders pricing a close race for first place among Silva, Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL). With the October 4 vote roughly seven weeks away, fresh polling, candidate endorsements, or late legal developments could widen the gap or consolidate support behind one contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Volume
$1,227Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling indicates Benedita da Silva (PT) maintains a narrow edge in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate contest, bolstered by her nomination on the ticket led by gubernatorial candidate Eduardo Paes and her established base among PT and evangelical voters. The right-leaning field remains fragmented after Flávio Bolsonaro shifted to a presidential bid, while investigations have sidelined other potential PL and allied contenders such as Cláudio Castro. Limited surveys since July have left traders pricing a close race for first place among Silva, Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL). With the October 4 vote roughly seven weeks away, fresh polling, candidate endorsements, or late legal developments could widen the gap or consolidate support behind one contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,227Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling indicates Benedita da Silva (PT) maintains a narrow edge in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate contest, bolstered by her nomination on the ticket led by gubernatorial candidate Eduardo Paes and her established base among PT and evangelical voters. The right-leaning field remains fragmented after Flávio Bolsonaro shifted to a presidential bid, while investigations have sidelined other potential PL and allied contenders such as Cláudio Castro. Limited surveys since July have left traders pricing a close race for first place among Silva, Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL). With the October 4 vote roughly seven weeks away, fresh polling, candidate endorsements, or late legal developments could widen the gap or consolidate support behind one contender.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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