The 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race remains highly competitive more than two months before the October vote, with trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across numerous candidates and placeholders. Incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) seeks re-election amid a crowded field that includes Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Ricardo Marques (PL), and several others, none of whom has consolidated broad support. Recent July and August polls show Mitidieri ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, yet the gap narrows under different coalition assumptions and the election remains subject to shifts in alliances, campaign momentum, and turnout patterns typical of Brazilian state contests. No single frontrunner has emerged decisively in market pricing, underscoring ongoing uncertainty over final ballot configurations and voter preferences.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDott. Helton 44%
Emanuel Cacho 44%
Fábio 44%
Ricardo Marques 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Dott. Helton
44%
Emanuel Cacho
44%
Fábio
44%
Ricardo Marques
44%
Valmir de Francisquinho
43%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
42%
Dott. Helton 44%
Emanuel Cacho 44%
Fábio 44%
Ricardo Marques 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Dott. Helton
$0 Vol.
44%
Emanuel Cacho
$0 Vol.
44%
Fábio
$0 Vol.
44%
Ricardo Marques
$0 Vol.
44%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$0 Vol.
43%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$0 Vol.
42%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race remains highly competitive more than two months before the October vote, with trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across numerous candidates and placeholders. Incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) seeks re-election amid a crowded field that includes Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Ricardo Marques (PL), and several others, none of whom has consolidated broad support. Recent July and August polls show Mitidieri ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, yet the gap narrows under different coalition assumptions and the election remains subject to shifts in alliances, campaign momentum, and turnout patterns typical of Brazilian state contests. No single frontrunner has emerged decisively in market pricing, underscoring ongoing uncertainty over final ballot configurations and voter preferences.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race remains highly competitive more than two months before the October vote, with trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across numerous candidates and placeholders. Incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) seeks re-election amid a crowded field that includes Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Ricardo Marques (PL), and several others, none of whom has consolidated broad support. Recent July and August polls show Mitidieri ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, yet the gap narrows under different coalition assumptions and the election remains subject to shifts in alliances, campaign momentum, and turnout patterns typical of Brazilian state contests. No single frontrunner has emerged decisively in market pricing, underscoring ongoing uncertainty over final ballot configurations and voter preferences.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race remains highly competitive more than two months before the October vote, with trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities across numerous candidates and placeholders. Incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) seeks re-election amid a crowded field that includes Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Ricardo Marques (PL), and several others, none of whom has consolidated broad support. Recent July and August polls show Mitidieri ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, yet the gap narrows under different coalition assumptions and the election remains subject to shifts in alliances, campaign momentum, and turnout patterns typical of Brazilian state contests. No single frontrunner has emerged decisively in market pricing, underscoring ongoing uncertainty over final ballot configurations and voter preferences.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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