PL leads the Chamber of Deputies market at 75.5% because recent party-switching activity before the deadline boosted its federal deputy count by a net 12 members, cementing its status as the single largest bloc ahead of the October 4, 2026, general election. This shift, combined with unified backing from the Bolsonaro-aligned right, has widened its edge over fragmented center-right and left-leaning groups. UPB sits at 10.5% and FE Brasil at 6.7% as the next-closest contenders, yet both trail after losing ground during the affiliation window. Traders view the October vote as likely to preserve PL’s plurality given its current 99 seats and stronger organizational reach across states, though shifts in candidate coalitions or late endorsements could still alter seat distributions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBrazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
PL 76%
UPB 11%
FE Brasil 6.7%
REPUBLICANOS 2.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
PL
76%
UPB
11%
FE Brasil
7%
REPUBLICANOS
2%
MDB
2%
PSB
1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSD
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
PL 76%
UPB 11%
FE Brasil 6.7%
REPUBLICANOS 2.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
PL
$2,917 Vol.
76%
UPB
$563 Vol.
11%
FE Brasil
$444 Vol.
7%
REPUBLICANOS
$343 Vol.
2%
MDB
$239 Vol.
2%
PSB
$266 Vol.
1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$185 Vol.
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$195 Vol.
<1%
PSD
$175 Vol.
<1%
MISSÃO
$237 Vol.
<1%
PDT
$166 Vol.
<1%
Avante
$200 Vol.
<1%
NOVO
$165 Vol.
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$200 Vol.
<1%
PODE
$170 Vol.
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Chamber of Deputies market at 75.5% because recent party-switching activity before the deadline boosted its federal deputy count by a net 12 members, cementing its status as the single largest bloc ahead of the October 4, 2026, general election. This shift, combined with unified backing from the Bolsonaro-aligned right, has widened its edge over fragmented center-right and left-leaning groups. UPB sits at 10.5% and FE Brasil at 6.7% as the next-closest contenders, yet both trail after losing ground during the affiliation window. Traders view the October vote as likely to preserve PL’s plurality given its current 99 seats and stronger organizational reach across states, though shifts in candidate coalitions or late endorsements could still alter seat distributions.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$6,460Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Chamber of Deputies market at 75.5% because recent party-switching activity before the deadline boosted its federal deputy count by a net 12 members, cementing its status as the single largest bloc ahead of the October 4, 2026, general election. This shift, combined with unified backing from the Bolsonaro-aligned right, has widened its edge over fragmented center-right and left-leaning groups. UPB sits at 10.5% and FE Brasil at 6.7% as the next-closest contenders, yet both trail after losing ground during the affiliation window. Traders view the October vote as likely to preserve PL’s plurality given its current 99 seats and stronger organizational reach across states, though shifts in candidate coalitions or late endorsements could still alter seat distributions.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Volume
$6,460Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL leads the Chamber of Deputies market at 75.5% because recent party-switching activity before the deadline boosted its federal deputy count by a net 12 members, cementing its status as the single largest bloc ahead of the October 4, 2026, general election. This shift, combined with unified backing from the Bolsonaro-aligned right, has widened its edge over fragmented center-right and left-leaning groups. UPB sits at 10.5% and FE Brasil at 6.7% as the next-closest contenders, yet both trail after losing ground during the affiliation window. Traders view the October vote as likely to preserve PL’s plurality given its current 99 seats and stronger organizational reach across states, though shifts in candidate coalitions or late endorsements could still alter seat distributions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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