Incumbent Mark Sutcliffe maintains a clear lead in the Ottawa mayoral race ahead of the October 26, 2026, vote, with nominations closing on August 21. Recent July polling shows him ahead among decided voters at around 36 percent, though his raw support has softened from earlier in the year as undecided voters remain near 34 percent. Challengers including homebuilder Alex Lawson and city councillor Jeff Leiper trail closely behind one another in second and third, with support split rather than consolidated. Economist Neil Saravanamuttoo and former councillor Catherine McKenney register minimal backing in both surveys and market pricing. The current trader consensus reflects Sutcliffe’s incumbency position, the absence of a dominant alternative, and the timeline remaining before final candidate certification and campaign intensity increases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Ottawa
Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Ottawa
Mark Sutcliffe 63%
Jeff Leiper 20%
Alex Lawson 15.0%
Catherine McKenney 1.5%
$62,503 Vol.
$62,503 Vol.
Mark Sutcliffe
63%
Jeff Leiper
20%
Alex Lawson
15%
Catherine McKenney
2%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 63%
Jeff Leiper 20%
Alex Lawson 15.0%
Catherine McKenney 1.5%
$62,503 Vol.
$62,503 Vol.
Mark Sutcliffe
63%
Jeff Leiper
20%
Alex Lawson
15%
Catherine McKenney
2%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Mercato aperto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mark Sutcliffe maintains a clear lead in the Ottawa mayoral race ahead of the October 26, 2026, vote, with nominations closing on August 21. Recent July polling shows him ahead among decided voters at around 36 percent, though his raw support has softened from earlier in the year as undecided voters remain near 34 percent. Challengers including homebuilder Alex Lawson and city councillor Jeff Leiper trail closely behind one another in second and third, with support split rather than consolidated. Economist Neil Saravanamuttoo and former councillor Catherine McKenney register minimal backing in both surveys and market pricing. The current trader consensus reflects Sutcliffe’s incumbency position, the absence of a dominant alternative, and the timeline remaining before final candidate certification and campaign intensity increases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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