AfD maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due to consistent polling around 41-43 percent, roughly double its 2021 result, amid broader eastern German support for the party. Factors include effective local campaigning by lead candidate Ulrich Siegmund, dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Sven Schulze, and the risk that smaller parties like SPD, FDP, and Greens may fall below the 5 percent threshold, potentially converting a plurality into an outright majority of seats. Recent surveys from late July and early August confirm this positioning, with CDU trailing at 23-24 percent. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sharp last-minute turnout changes among undecided voters, major campaign events, or stronger-than-expected performances by opposition parties that preserve coalition options.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari Sachsen-Anhalt
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 99.5%
CDU <1%
La Sinistra <1%
BSW <1%
$884,948 Vol.
$884,948 Vol.
6 set 2026
AfD
100%
CDU
1%
La Sinistra
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
I Verdi
<1%
AfD 99.5%
CDU <1%
La Sinistra <1%
BSW <1%
$884,948 Vol.
$884,948 Vol.
6 set 2026
AfD
$90,540 Vol.
100%
CDU
$502,168 Vol.
1%
La Sinistra
$47,106 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 Vol.
<1%
I Verdi
$56,851 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due to consistent polling around 41-43 percent, roughly double its 2021 result, amid broader eastern German support for the party. Factors include effective local campaigning by lead candidate Ulrich Siegmund, dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Sven Schulze, and the risk that smaller parties like SPD, FDP, and Greens may fall below the 5 percent threshold, potentially converting a plurality into an outright majority of seats. Recent surveys from late July and early August confirm this positioning, with CDU trailing at 23-24 percent. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sharp last-minute turnout changes among undecided voters, major campaign events, or stronger-than-expected performances by opposition parties that preserve coalition options.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$884,948Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due to consistent polling around 41-43 percent, roughly double its 2021 result, amid broader eastern German support for the party. Factors include effective local campaigning by lead candidate Ulrich Siegmund, dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Sven Schulze, and the risk that smaller parties like SPD, FDP, and Greens may fall below the 5 percent threshold, potentially converting a plurality into an outright majority of seats. Recent surveys from late July and early August confirm this positioning, with CDU trailing at 23-24 percent. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sharp last-minute turnout changes among undecided voters, major campaign events, or stronger-than-expected performances by opposition parties that preserve coalition options.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$884,948Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election due to consistent polling around 41-43 percent, roughly double its 2021 result, amid broader eastern German support for the party. Factors include effective local campaigning by lead candidate Ulrich Siegmund, dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Sven Schulze, and the risk that smaller parties like SPD, FDP, and Greens may fall below the 5 percent threshold, potentially converting a plurality into an outright majority of seats. Recent surveys from late July and early August confirm this positioning, with CDU trailing at 23-24 percent. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sharp last-minute turnout changes among undecided voters, major campaign events, or stronger-than-expected performances by opposition parties that preserve coalition options.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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