Recent polling trends position the CDU as the clear second-strongest force behind the AfD ahead of the September 6, 2026, state election. Surveys from May show the AfD at 41 percent and the CDU at 26 percent, with the Left Party at 12 percent and all others below 8 percent. This consistent gap, sustained over multiple months, leaves limited scope for another party to overtake the CDU. Traders price the CDU outcome near 92 percent because no major shift in voter preferences or campaign events has narrowed the margin enough to alter the ordering. A late surge by the Left or BSW, or an unexpected drop in CDU support, remains the main variable that could still reorder the field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCDU 93%
AfD 5%
BSW 1.2%
FDP 1.1%
$47,445 Vol.
$47,445 Vol.
6 set 2026
CDU
93%
AfD
5%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
La Sinistra
1%
I Verdi
1%
SPD
1%
CDU 93%
AfD 5%
BSW 1.2%
FDP 1.1%
$47,445 Vol.
$47,445 Vol.
6 set 2026
CDU
$19,279 Vol.
93%
AfD
$1,045 Vol.
5%
BSW
$880 Vol.
1%
FDP
$1,861 Vol.
1%
La Sinistra
$1,113 Vol.
1%
I Verdi
$1,006 Vol.
1%
SPD
$22,262 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling trends position the CDU as the clear second-strongest force behind the AfD ahead of the September 6, 2026, state election. Surveys from May show the AfD at 41 percent and the CDU at 26 percent, with the Left Party at 12 percent and all others below 8 percent. This consistent gap, sustained over multiple months, leaves limited scope for another party to overtake the CDU. Traders price the CDU outcome near 92 percent because no major shift in voter preferences or campaign events has narrowed the margin enough to alter the ordering. A late surge by the Left or BSW, or an unexpected drop in CDU support, remains the main variable that could still reorder the field.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volume
$47,445Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling trends position the CDU as the clear second-strongest force behind the AfD ahead of the September 6, 2026, state election. Surveys from May show the AfD at 41 percent and the CDU at 26 percent, with the Left Party at 12 percent and all others below 8 percent. This consistent gap, sustained over multiple months, leaves limited scope for another party to overtake the CDU. Traders price the CDU outcome near 92 percent because no major shift in voter preferences or campaign events has narrowed the margin enough to alter the ordering. A late surge by the Left or BSW, or an unexpected drop in CDU support, remains the main variable that could still reorder the field.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$47,445Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position the CDU as the clear second-strongest force behind the AfD ahead of the September 6, 2026, state election. Surveys from May show the AfD at 41 percent and the CDU at 26 percent, with the Left Party at 12 percent and all others below 8 percent. This consistent gap, sustained over multiple months, leaves limited scope for another party to overtake the CDU. Traders price the CDU outcome near 92 percent because no major shift in voter preferences or campaign events has narrowed the margin enough to alter the ordering. A late surge by the Left or BSW, or an unexpected drop in CDU support, remains the main variable that could still reorder the field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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