Recent polls show AfD support in Berlin fluctuating between 16% and 19% in the fragmented five-party contest ahead of the September 20 vote, producing seat projections clustered tightly around the 20-28 range that align with current market pricing. National momentum for the party, gains in other 2026 state contests, and campaign focus on migration and security issues have lifted its floor from the prior 9% result, yet urban voter patterns and the consistent refusal of CDU, SPD, Greens, and Left to consider coalitions keep upside limited. With turnout, preference flows among smaller parties, and final polling shifts still unresolved, traders see little basis for strong separation across bins until results clarify the distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato26-28 21%
<20 19%
20-22 19%
29-31 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
<20
22%
20-22
19%
23-25
13%
26-28
21%
29-31
16%
32-34
9%
35+
7%
26-28 21%
<20 19%
20-22 19%
29-31 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
<20
$442 Vol.
22%
20-22
$144 Vol.
19%
23-25
$97 Vol.
13%
26-28
$222 Vol.
21%
29-31
$113 Vol.
16%
32-34
$87 Vol.
9%
35+
$304 Vol.
7%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls show AfD support in Berlin fluctuating between 16% and 19% in the fragmented five-party contest ahead of the September 20 vote, producing seat projections clustered tightly around the 20-28 range that align with current market pricing. National momentum for the party, gains in other 2026 state contests, and campaign focus on migration and security issues have lifted its floor from the prior 9% result, yet urban voter patterns and the consistent refusal of CDU, SPD, Greens, and Left to consider coalitions keep upside limited. With turnout, preference flows among smaller parties, and final polling shifts still unresolved, traders see little basis for strong separation across bins until results clarify the distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,409Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls show AfD support in Berlin fluctuating between 16% and 19% in the fragmented five-party contest ahead of the September 20 vote, producing seat projections clustered tightly around the 20-28 range that align with current market pricing. National momentum for the party, gains in other 2026 state contests, and campaign focus on migration and security issues have lifted its floor from the prior 9% result, yet urban voter patterns and the consistent refusal of CDU, SPD, Greens, and Left to consider coalitions keep upside limited. With turnout, preference flows among smaller parties, and final polling shifts still unresolved, traders see little basis for strong separation across bins until results clarify the distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$1,409Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show AfD support in Berlin fluctuating between 16% and 19% in the fragmented five-party contest ahead of the September 20 vote, producing seat projections clustered tightly around the 20-28 range that align with current market pricing. National momentum for the party, gains in other 2026 state contests, and campaign focus on migration and security issues have lifted its floor from the prior 9% result, yet urban voter patterns and the consistent refusal of CDU, SPD, Greens, and Left to consider coalitions keep upside limited. With turnout, preference flows among smaller parties, and final polling shifts still unresolved, traders see little basis for strong separation across bins until results clarify the distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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