Recent Forsa and INSA polls show The Left leading at 19-22 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, with CDU and AfD clustered at 17-20 percent and Grüne near 16 percent, while SPD trails at 12-15 percent. This narrow spread among second- through fourth-place contenders sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among urban and eastern districts could reorder the middle of the field. Trader pricing reflects these polling margins, with AfD holding a modest edge for third place over Grüne and CDU. Key variables include coalition signaling from potential three-party combinations and any final-week campaign events that alter momentum among the four parties currently within a few points of one another.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAfD 34%
Grüne 29%
CDU 24%
Linke 11%
$22,608 Vol.
$22,608 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
34%
Grüne
29%
CDU
24%
Linke
11%
SPD
9%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 34%
Grüne 29%
CDU 24%
Linke 11%
$22,608 Vol.
$22,608 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
$5,435 Vol.
34%
Grüne
$3,681 Vol.
29%
CDU
$5,639 Vol.
24%
Linke
$4,578 Vol.
11%
SPD
$1,268 Vol.
9%
FDP
$674 Vol.
<1%
FW
$582 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$750 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent Forsa and INSA polls show The Left leading at 19-22 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, with CDU and AfD clustered at 17-20 percent and Grüne near 16 percent, while SPD trails at 12-15 percent. This narrow spread among second- through fourth-place contenders sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among urban and eastern districts could reorder the middle of the field. Trader pricing reflects these polling margins, with AfD holding a modest edge for third place over Grüne and CDU. Key variables include coalition signaling from potential three-party combinations and any final-week campaign events that alter momentum among the four parties currently within a few points of one another.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Mercato aperto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$22,608Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent Forsa and INSA polls show The Left leading at 19-22 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, with CDU and AfD clustered at 17-20 percent and Grüne near 16 percent, while SPD trails at 12-15 percent. This narrow spread among second- through fourth-place contenders sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among urban and eastern districts could reorder the middle of the field. Trader pricing reflects these polling margins, with AfD holding a modest edge for third place over Grüne and CDU. Key variables include coalition signaling from potential three-party combinations and any final-week campaign events that alter momentum among the four parties currently within a few points of one another.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$22,608Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Forsa and INSA polls show The Left leading at 19-22 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, with CDU and AfD clustered at 17-20 percent and Grüne near 16 percent, while SPD trails at 12-15 percent. This narrow spread among second- through fourth-place contenders sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order, as small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among urban and eastern districts could reorder the middle of the field. Trader pricing reflects these polling margins, with AfD holding a modest edge for third place over Grüne and CDU. Key variables include coalition signaling from potential three-party combinations and any final-week campaign events that alter momentum among the four parties currently within a few points of one another.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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