**SPD secured 9.3% of the vote in the 6 September 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, confirming its position above the 9% threshold.** Recent pre-election surveys from late August and early September consistently placed the party between 6% and 9%, with several showing 8–9% amid a broader shift toward the AfD (final 43.8%) and sharp CDU losses (final 17.2%). As the junior partner in the outgoing CDU–SPD–FDP coalition, the SPD maintained roughly its 2021 level (8.4%) despite the governing bloc’s overall decline and high undecided voters. The narrow range of late polling averages, combined with the absence of major last-minute volatility or turnout surprises that would have pushed the result below 9%, produced the strong trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could still alter resolution remain limited to final official adjustments or disputes over invalid ballots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato9%+ 99.2%
5-7% <1%
7-9% <1%
<5% <1%
$215,812 Vol.
$215,812 Vol.
6 set 2026
<5%
<1%
5-7%
1%
7-9%
1%
9%+
99%
9%+ 99.2%
5-7% <1%
7-9% <1%
<5% <1%
$215,812 Vol.
$215,812 Vol.
6 set 2026
<5%
$30,370 Vol.
<1%
5-7%
$55,684 Vol.
1%
7-9%
$72,539 Vol.
1%
9%+
$57,219 Vol.
99%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**SPD secured 9.3% of the vote in the 6 September 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, confirming its position above the 9% threshold.** Recent pre-election surveys from late August and early September consistently placed the party between 6% and 9%, with several showing 8–9% amid a broader shift toward the AfD (final 43.8%) and sharp CDU losses (final 17.2%). As the junior partner in the outgoing CDU–SPD–FDP coalition, the SPD maintained roughly its 2021 level (8.4%) despite the governing bloc’s overall decline and high undecided voters. The narrow range of late polling averages, combined with the absence of major last-minute volatility or turnout surprises that would have pushed the result below 9%, produced the strong trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could still alter resolution remain limited to final official adjustments or disputes over invalid ballots.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Volume
$215,812Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**SPD secured 9.3% of the vote in the 6 September 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, confirming its position above the 9% threshold.** Recent pre-election surveys from late August and early September consistently placed the party between 6% and 9%, with several showing 8–9% amid a broader shift toward the AfD (final 43.8%) and sharp CDU losses (final 17.2%). As the junior partner in the outgoing CDU–SPD–FDP coalition, the SPD maintained roughly its 2021 level (8.4%) despite the governing bloc’s overall decline and high undecided voters. The narrow range of late polling averages, combined with the absence of major last-minute volatility or turnout surprises that would have pushed the result below 9%, produced the strong trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could still alter resolution remain limited to final official adjustments or disputes over invalid ballots.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$215,812Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**SPD secured 9.3% of the vote in the 6 September 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, confirming its position above the 9% threshold.** Recent pre-election surveys from late August and early September consistently placed the party between 6% and 9%, with several showing 8–9% amid a broader shift toward the AfD (final 43.8%) and sharp CDU losses (final 17.2%). As the junior partner in the outgoing CDU–SPD–FDP coalition, the SPD maintained roughly its 2021 level (8.4%) despite the governing bloc’s overall decline and high undecided voters. The narrow range of late polling averages, combined with the absence of major last-minute volatility or turnout surprises that would have pushed the result below 9%, produced the strong trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could still alter resolution remain limited to final official adjustments or disputes over invalid ballots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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