Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin, secured 42.2 percent in the September 13 first round, outpacing Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent and advancing to the September 27 runoff. Her lead reflects strong voter support built during her first term since 2021, combined with broad name recognition and a campaign emphasizing economic strength, innovation, and cross-party appeal in a city that has not delivered an absolute majority in the initial vote. Traders assign her a 92 percent implied probability because the eight-day gap leaves limited room for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as sharply altered turnout or late-breaking issues. Other listed candidates trail far behind and have been eliminated from contention under local electoral rules.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKatharina Pötter 91.5%
Volker Bajus 5.5%
Oliver Hasskamp 1.2%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
$83,435 Vol.
$83,435 Vol.
13 set 2026
Katharina Pötter
92%
Volker Bajus
5%
Oliver Hasskamp
1%
Robert Alferink
1%
Thorsten Wassermann
1%
Thomas Groß
<1%
Katharina Pötter 91.5%
Volker Bajus 5.5%
Oliver Hasskamp 1.2%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
$83,435 Vol.
$83,435 Vol.
13 set 2026
Katharina Pötter
$63,231 Vol.
92%
Volker Bajus
$1,676 Vol.
5%
Oliver Hasskamp
$1,687 Vol.
1%
Robert Alferink
$15,797 Vol.
1%
Thorsten Wassermann
$688 Vol.
1%
Thomas Groß
$357 Vol.
<1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin, secured 42.2 percent in the September 13 first round, outpacing Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent and advancing to the September 27 runoff. Her lead reflects strong voter support built during her first term since 2021, combined with broad name recognition and a campaign emphasizing economic strength, innovation, and cross-party appeal in a city that has not delivered an absolute majority in the initial vote. Traders assign her a 92 percent implied probability because the eight-day gap leaves limited room for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as sharply altered turnout or late-breaking issues. Other listed candidates trail far behind and have been eliminated from contention under local electoral rules.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$83,435Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin, secured 42.2 percent in the September 13 first round, outpacing Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent and advancing to the September 27 runoff. Her lead reflects strong voter support built during her first term since 2021, combined with broad name recognition and a campaign emphasizing economic strength, innovation, and cross-party appeal in a city that has not delivered an absolute majority in the initial vote. Traders assign her a 92 percent implied probability because the eight-day gap leaves limited room for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as sharply altered turnout or late-breaking issues. Other listed candidates trail far behind and have been eliminated from contention under local electoral rules.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$83,435Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin, secured 42.2 percent in the September 13 first round, outpacing Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent and advancing to the September 27 runoff. Her lead reflects strong voter support built during her first term since 2021, combined with broad name recognition and a campaign emphasizing economic strength, innovation, and cross-party appeal in a city that has not delivered an absolute majority in the initial vote. Traders assign her a 92 percent implied probability because the eight-day gap leaves limited room for major shifts absent unforeseen developments such as sharply altered turnout or late-breaking issues. Other listed candidates trail far behind and have been eliminated from contention under local electoral rules.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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