Germany's economy showed resilience in the first half of 2026, with Q2 GDP expanding 0.3% quarter-on-quarter after a revised 0.4% gain in Q1, supported by stronger exports. This momentum has prompted multiple institutes, including IMK and the Kiel Institute, to lift full-year 2026 forecasts to 1.3% as of early September, citing robust foreign demand and increased government outlays on defense and infrastructure. Traders appear to price in continued expansion for Q3 at the 1.0-1.2% level amid these upgrades, though headwinds such as elevated energy prices, subdued private consumption, and temporary transport disruptions from low Rhine water levels could moderate the pace. Key upcoming data include the Q3 flash estimate in late October and further inflation and industrial production releases that may influence monetary policy expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1.0-1.2% 53%
0.7-0.9% 22%
1.3%+ 19%
≤0.0% 5.8%
$34,253 Vol.
$34,253 Vol.
30 ott 2026
≤0.0%
6%
0.1-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.6%
<1%
0.7-0.9%
22%
1.0-1.2%
53%
1.3%+
19%
1.0-1.2% 53%
0.7-0.9% 22%
1.3%+ 19%
≤0.0% 5.8%
$34,253 Vol.
$34,253 Vol.
30 ott 2026
≤0.0%
$1,361 Vol.
6%
0.1-0.3%
$1,644 Vol.
5%
0.4-0.6%
$702 Vol.
<1%
0.7-0.9%
$5,794 Vol.
22%
1.0-1.2%
$20,450 Vol.
53%
1.3%+
$4,302 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's economy showed resilience in the first half of 2026, with Q2 GDP expanding 0.3% quarter-on-quarter after a revised 0.4% gain in Q1, supported by stronger exports. This momentum has prompted multiple institutes, including IMK and the Kiel Institute, to lift full-year 2026 forecasts to 1.3% as of early September, citing robust foreign demand and increased government outlays on defense and infrastructure. Traders appear to price in continued expansion for Q3 at the 1.0-1.2% level amid these upgrades, though headwinds such as elevated energy prices, subdued private consumption, and temporary transport disruptions from low Rhine water levels could moderate the pace. Key upcoming data include the Q3 flash estimate in late October and further inflation and industrial production releases that may influence monetary policy expectations.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$34,253Data di fine
30 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany's economy showed resilience in the first half of 2026, with Q2 GDP expanding 0.3% quarter-on-quarter after a revised 0.4% gain in Q1, supported by stronger exports. This momentum has prompted multiple institutes, including IMK and the Kiel Institute, to lift full-year 2026 forecasts to 1.3% as of early September, citing robust foreign demand and increased government outlays on defense and infrastructure. Traders appear to price in continued expansion for Q3 at the 1.0-1.2% level amid these upgrades, though headwinds such as elevated energy prices, subdued private consumption, and temporary transport disruptions from low Rhine water levels could moderate the pace. Key upcoming data include the Q3 flash estimate in late October and further inflation and industrial production releases that may influence monetary policy expectations.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,253Data di fine
30 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Germany's economy showed resilience in the first half of 2026, with Q2 GDP expanding 0.3% quarter-on-quarter after a revised 0.4% gain in Q1, supported by stronger exports. This momentum has prompted multiple institutes, including IMK and the Kiel Institute, to lift full-year 2026 forecasts to 1.3% as of early September, citing robust foreign demand and increased government outlays on defense and infrastructure. Traders appear to price in continued expansion for Q3 at the 1.0-1.2% level amid these upgrades, though headwinds such as elevated energy prices, subdued private consumption, and temporary transport disruptions from low Rhine water levels could moderate the pace. Key upcoming data include the Q3 flash estimate in late October and further inflation and industrial production releases that may influence monetary policy expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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