Recent quarterly GDP prints, with 0.6% growth in Q1 2026 and a revised 0.5% in Q2, have reinforced expectations for moderate expansion, aligning with independent forecasts averaging 1.1-1.3% for the full year from sources including the OBR, OECD, and HM Treasury surveys. Elevated energy prices and borrowing costs are expected to weigh on household spending and investment in the second half, tempering momentum despite resilient services activity. The Bank of England’s September decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% amid sticky inflation and softening labor data further supports the market’s heavy weighting toward the 1-2% outcome, reflecting trader consensus on subdued but positive annual growth.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoView resolved

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