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icon for Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto
Elezioni·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto
Elezioni·Brasile

Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto

Guto Felício dos Santos 44%

David Horn 44%

Erika Kokay 44%

Michelle Bolsonaro 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Guto Felício dos Santos 44%

David Horn 44%

Erika Kokay 44%

Michelle Bolsonaro 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Guto Felício dos Santos

Guto Felício dos Santos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for David Horn

David Horn

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Erika Kokay

Erika Kokay

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professor Guilherme Amorim

Professor Guilherme Amorim

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sebastião Coelho

Sebastião Coelho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Leila do Vôlei

Leila do Vôlei

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marley

Marley

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tiago

Tiago

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Zanata

Zanata

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Avenir Rosa

Avenir Rosa

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Ronaldo Fonseca

Ronaldo Fonseca

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$0 Vol.

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Federal District Senate race for one of two seats remains tightly contested due to vote fragmentation among right-leaning candidates aligned with former President Jair Bolsonaro, including Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), Bia Kicis (PL), and others, alongside established contenders such as Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). Recent candidate registrations and Michelle Bolsonaro’s formal announcement have kept polling averages and implied probabilities closely bunched, with no single name securing a decisive edge in surveys. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights uncertainty ahead of the October 2026 vote, where turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, and any shifts in right-wing coalition dynamics could produce separation among frontrunners.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Federal District Senate race for one of two seats remains tightly contested due to vote fragmentation among right-leaning candidates aligned with former President Jair Bolsonaro, including Michelle Bolsonaro (PL), Bia Kicis (PL), and others, alongside established contenders such as Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Erika Kokay (PT). Recent candidate registrations and Michelle Bolsonaro’s formal announcement have kept polling averages and implied probabilities closely bunched, with no single name securing a decisive edge in surveys. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights uncertainty ahead of the October 2026 vote, where turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, and any shifts in right-wing coalition dynamics could produce separation among frontrunners.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Erika Kokay otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Erika Kokay otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

44%
Sì
icon for Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

47%
icon for Capitão Alberto Neto otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Amazonas del 2026?

Capitão Alberto Neto otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Amazonas del 2026?

44%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Guto Felício dos Santos" a 44%, seguito da "David Horn" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto" è "Guto Felício dos Santos" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "David Horn" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.