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icon for Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto

icon for Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto

Renato Casagrande 44%

Rodney Miranda 44%

Sergio Meneguelli 44%

Fabiano Contarato 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Renato Casagrande 44%

Rodney Miranda 44%

Sergio Meneguelli 44%

Fabiano Contarato 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Renato Casagrande

Renato Casagrande

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rodney Miranda

Rodney Miranda

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sergio Meneguelli

Sergio Meneguelli

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Fabiano Contarato

Fabiano Contarato

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Leonardo Monjardim

Leonardo Monjardim

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Maguinha Malta

Maguinha Malta

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marcos do Val

Marcos do Val

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professor Fabian

Professor Fabian

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rose de Freitas

Rose de Freitas

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Callegari

Callegari

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Evair de Melo

Evair de Melo

$0 Vol.

43%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Evair de Melo otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Espírito Santo del 2026?

Evair de Melo otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Espírito Santo del 2026?

44%
Sì
icon for La Dott.ssa Eliana Ferreira otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

La Dott.ssa Eliana Ferreira otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di San Paolo del 2026?

46%
Sì
icon for Erika Kokay otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Erika Kokay otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

44%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Renato Casagrande" a 44%, seguito da "Rodney Miranda" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto" è "Renato Casagrande" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Rodney Miranda" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Espírito Santo Senato Elezioni: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.