Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and subsequent investor meetings led by its CFO have positioned a 2026 U.S. listing as the central catalyst driving trader sentiment. Multiple reports highlight a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as October, aligning with the exchange's established role hosting major AI and technology companies through its listing standards and liquidity for growth-oriented firms. This underpins the leading 67% implied probability for NASDAQ. NYSE trails at 40.5% due to its more traditional profile, while "Other" at 46.5% captures residual uncertainty around timing, market conditions, or potential non-U.S. options, though all credible coverage focuses on domestic venues. No official exchange confirmation has emerged, leaving room for shifts ahead of any roadshow or pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNASDAQ 67%
Altro 48%
NYSE 41%
NASDAQ
67%
NYSE
41%
Altro
48%
NASDAQ 67%
Altro 48%
NYSE 41%
NASDAQ
67%
NYSE
41%
Altro
48%
For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and subsequent investor meetings led by its CFO have positioned a 2026 U.S. listing as the central catalyst driving trader sentiment. Multiple reports highlight a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as October, aligning with the exchange's established role hosting major AI and technology companies through its listing standards and liquidity for growth-oriented firms. This underpins the leading 67% implied probability for NASDAQ. NYSE trails at 40.5% due to its more traditional profile, while "Other" at 46.5% captures residual uncertainty around timing, market conditions, or potential non-U.S. options, though all credible coverage focuses on domestic venues. No official exchange confirmation has emerged, leaving room for shifts ahead of any roadshow or pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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