Recent rapid revenue growth and investor expectations for a record October 2026 IPO are driving the 64% market-implied probability on an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company’s May Series H round valued it at $965 billion post-money with a $47 billion run-rate that backers project could reach $100–120 billion annualized by year-end, supporting targets of $2 trillion or higher. Confidential S-1 filing in June and banker selection of Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced timing confidence, while secondary trading already implies $1.05–1.15 trillion. Lower brackets reflect limited room for downside absent major regulatory or competitive setbacks before listing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1.8T+ 65%
1.5–1.8T 16.0%
1.2–1.5T 11.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.9%
$308,992 Vol.
$308,992 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
4%
1.2–1.5T
11%
1.5–1.8T
16%
1.8T+
65%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 65%
1.5–1.8T 16.0%
1.2–1.5T 11.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.9%
$308,992 Vol.
$308,992 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
4%
1.2–1.5T
11%
1.5–1.8T
16%
1.8T+
65%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rapid revenue growth and investor expectations for a record October 2026 IPO are driving the 64% market-implied probability on an Anthropic closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company’s May Series H round valued it at $965 billion post-money with a $47 billion run-rate that backers project could reach $100–120 billion annualized by year-end, supporting targets of $2 trillion or higher. Confidential S-1 filing in June and banker selection of Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced timing confidence, while secondary trading already implies $1.05–1.15 trillion. Lower brackets reflect limited room for downside absent major regulatory or competitive setbacks before listing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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