Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by reports of early talks for a $30 billion funding round valuing the company at $900 billion to $950 billion—more than doubling its $380 billion post-money valuation from February 2026. This surge reflects Claude large language model leadership in enterprise adoption, annualized revenue topping $30 billion, and strategic partnerships like today's $200 million Gates Foundation collaboration on AI for health and education. Lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) capture tempered optimism amid a May 12 secondary share policy warning that briefly erased pre-IPO trading value, while a 13% no-IPO-by-2027 chance accounts for potential delays in the targeted late-2026 listing. Watch for round closure by month-end and regulatory scrutiny on AI frontier models.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 16%
0.9–1.2T 13%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
$45,247 Vol.
$45,247 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
13%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
12%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
13%
1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 16%
0.9–1.2T 13%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
$45,247 Vol.
$45,247 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 Vol.
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 Vol.
6%
0.9–1.2T
$5,564 Vol.
13%
1.2–1.5T
$5,185 Vol.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,070 Vol.
12%
1.8T+
$11,448 Vol.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,373 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by reports of early talks for a $30 billion funding round valuing the company at $900 billion to $950 billion—more than doubling its $380 billion post-money valuation from February 2026. This surge reflects Claude large language model leadership in enterprise adoption, annualized revenue topping $30 billion, and strategic partnerships like today's $200 million Gates Foundation collaboration on AI for health and education. Lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) capture tempered optimism amid a May 12 secondary share policy warning that briefly erased pre-IPO trading value, while a 13% no-IPO-by-2027 chance accounts for potential delays in the targeted late-2026 listing. Watch for round closure by month-end and regulatory scrutiny on AI frontier models.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$45,247Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by reports of early talks for a $30 billion funding round valuing the company at $900 billion to $950 billion—more than doubling its $380 billion post-money valuation from February 2026. This surge reflects Claude large language model leadership in enterprise adoption, annualized revenue topping $30 billion, and strategic partnerships like today's $200 million Gates Foundation collaboration on AI for health and education. Lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) capture tempered optimism amid a May 12 secondary share policy warning that briefly erased pre-IPO trading value, while a 13% no-IPO-by-2027 chance accounts for potential delays in the targeted late-2026 listing. Watch for round closure by month-end and regulatory scrutiny on AI frontier models.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$45,247Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by reports of early talks for a $30 billion funding round valuing the company at $900 billion to $950 billion—more than doubling its $380 billion post-money valuation from February 2026. This surge reflects Claude large language model leadership in enterprise adoption, annualized revenue topping $30 billion, and strategic partnerships like today's $200 million Gates Foundation collaboration on AI for health and education. Lower brackets like 1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) capture tempered optimism amid a May 12 secondary share policy warning that briefly erased pre-IPO trading value, while a 13% no-IPO-by-2027 chance accounts for potential delays in the targeted late-2026 listing. Watch for round closure by month-end and regulatory scrutiny on AI frontier models.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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