OpenAI's June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent signals pointing toward a potential 2027 IPO timeline anchor trader sentiment for its closing market cap, with the 1.5T+ outcome leading at 34.6% amid robust ChatGPT subscription and enterprise API revenue growth. Persistent questions around sustainable profitability, high compute costs, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and broader AI sector multiples versus historical tech IPO precedents widen the distribution across the 1T–1.5T range. Macro factors including Treasury yields, risk appetite, and any pre-IPO investor meetings or revised guidance could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1,5T+ 34.7%
1,25T–1,5T 23%
1T–1,25T 21.1%
750B–1T 11%
$87,991 Vol.
$87,991 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
1%
500–750 miliardi
3%
750B–1T
11%
1T–1,25T
21%
1,25T–1,5T
23%
1,5T+
35%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027
10%
1,5T+ 34.7%
1,25T–1,5T 23%
1T–1,25T 21.1%
750B–1T 11%
$87,991 Vol.
$87,991 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
$6,134 Vol.
1%
500–750 miliardi
$8,207 Vol.
3%
750B–1T
$9,178 Vol.
11%
1T–1,25T
$13,974 Vol.
21%
1,25T–1,5T
$8,540 Vol.
23%
1,5T+
$22,625 Vol.
35%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$19,333 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent signals pointing toward a potential 2027 IPO timeline anchor trader sentiment for its closing market cap, with the 1.5T+ outcome leading at 34.6% amid robust ChatGPT subscription and enterprise API revenue growth. Persistent questions around sustainable profitability, high compute costs, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and broader AI sector multiples versus historical tech IPO precedents widen the distribution across the 1T–1.5T range. Macro factors including Treasury yields, risk appetite, and any pre-IPO investor meetings or revised guidance could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$87,991Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent signals pointing toward a potential 2027 IPO timeline anchor trader sentiment for its closing market cap, with the 1.5T+ outcome leading at 34.6% amid robust ChatGPT subscription and enterprise API revenue growth. Persistent questions around sustainable profitability, high compute costs, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and broader AI sector multiples versus historical tech IPO precedents widen the distribution across the 1T–1.5T range. Macro factors including Treasury yields, risk appetite, and any pre-IPO investor meetings or revised guidance could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$87,991Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent signals pointing toward a potential 2027 IPO timeline anchor trader sentiment for its closing market cap, with the 1.5T+ outcome leading at 34.6% amid robust ChatGPT subscription and enterprise API revenue growth. Persistent questions around sustainable profitability, high compute costs, competitive pressures from Anthropic, and broader AI sector multiples versus historical tech IPO precedents widen the distribution across the 1T–1.5T range. Macro factors including Treasury yields, risk appetite, and any pre-IPO investor meetings or revised guidance could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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