Nvidia’s end-2026 market cap hinges on sustained AI infrastructure spending by hyperscalers amid shifting competitive and regulatory pressures. Recent earnings momentum, Blackwell and Rubin platform ramps, and expanding inference opportunities have supported trader views of $5.5–6T as the most likely range, reflecting continued GPU dominance for large language model training. Offsetting factors include AMD and custom silicon from Google and Amazon eroding share, plus U.S. export curbs and antitrust scrutiny that could limit China revenue or slow global shipments. Upcoming Q2 results and any new permitting rules will serve as near-term tests, with outcomes turning on whether data-center demand holds above $300 billion annualized or faces meaningful delays.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa capitalizzazione di mercato di Nvidia alla fine del 2026?
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Nvidia alla fine del 2026?
$5,50-$6,00T 33%
4,50-5,00 T 15%
< $4,00T 15%
6,50T+ 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
< $4,00T
15%
$4,00-$4,50T
10%
4,50-5,00 T
15%
5,00-5,50T
13%
$5,50-$6,00T
33%
$6,00-$6,50T
13%
6,50T+
14%
$5,50-$6,00T 33%
4,50-5,00 T 15%
< $4,00T 15%
6,50T+ 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
< $4,00T
$163 Vol.
15%
$4,00-$4,50T
$186 Vol.
10%
4,50-5,00 T
$174 Vol.
15%
5,00-5,50T
$76 Vol.
13%
$5,50-$6,00T
$246 Vol.
33%
$6,00-$6,50T
$128 Vol.
13%
6,50T+
$76 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s end-2026 market cap hinges on sustained AI infrastructure spending by hyperscalers amid shifting competitive and regulatory pressures. Recent earnings momentum, Blackwell and Rubin platform ramps, and expanding inference opportunities have supported trader views of $5.5–6T as the most likely range, reflecting continued GPU dominance for large language model training. Offsetting factors include AMD and custom silicon from Google and Amazon eroding share, plus U.S. export curbs and antitrust scrutiny that could limit China revenue or slow global shipments. Upcoming Q2 results and any new permitting rules will serve as near-term tests, with outcomes turning on whether data-center demand holds above $300 billion annualized or faces meaningful delays.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,049Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s end-2026 market cap hinges on sustained AI infrastructure spending by hyperscalers amid shifting competitive and regulatory pressures. Recent earnings momentum, Blackwell and Rubin platform ramps, and expanding inference opportunities have supported trader views of $5.5–6T as the most likely range, reflecting continued GPU dominance for large language model training. Offsetting factors include AMD and custom silicon from Google and Amazon eroding share, plus U.S. export curbs and antitrust scrutiny that could limit China revenue or slow global shipments. Upcoming Q2 results and any new permitting rules will serve as near-term tests, with outcomes turning on whether data-center demand holds above $300 billion annualized or faces meaningful delays.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$1,049Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s end-2026 market cap hinges on sustained AI infrastructure spending by hyperscalers amid shifting competitive and regulatory pressures. Recent earnings momentum, Blackwell and Rubin platform ramps, and expanding inference opportunities have supported trader views of $5.5–6T as the most likely range, reflecting continued GPU dominance for large language model training. Offsetting factors include AMD and custom silicon from Google and Amazon eroding share, plus U.S. export curbs and antitrust scrutiny that could limit China revenue or slow global shipments. Upcoming Q2 results and any new permitting rules will serve as near-term tests, with outcomes turning on whether data-center demand holds above $300 billion annualized or faces meaningful delays.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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