Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 87% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records—bolstered by the February merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for Starship autonomy and Starlink optimization amid 9 million subscribers and record launch cadence. Recent catalysts include a planned June 8 roadshow and reports of $1.5 trillion private valuation, cementing its lead despite execution risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship delays. xAI lingers at 25.5% on merger synergies, while Anthropic's 7.5% reflects early-2026 IPO whispers at $300 billion-plus valuations; OpenAI trails amid Q4 timing and massive private funding. Upcoming roadshows and filings could shift dynamics rapidly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa più grande IPO per capitalizzazione di mercato nel 2026?
La più grande IPO per capitalizzazione di mercato nel 2026?
SpaceX 87%
Anthropic 7.5%
OpenAI 2.8%
Kraken 1.0%
$1,855,853 Vol.
$1,855,853 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
87%
Anthropic
8%
OpenAI
3%
Kraken
1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 87%
Anthropic 7.5%
OpenAI 2.8%
Kraken 1.0%
$1,855,853 Vol.
$1,855,853 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
$223,907 Vol.
87%
Anthropic
$358,253 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$331,268 Vol.
3%
Kraken
$385,145 Vol.
1%
Discord
$80,777 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$98,010 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$50,552 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$69,363 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$56,872 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$50,649 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$66,679 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$84,379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 87% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records—bolstered by the February merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for Starship autonomy and Starlink optimization amid 9 million subscribers and record launch cadence. Recent catalysts include a planned June 8 roadshow and reports of $1.5 trillion private valuation, cementing its lead despite execution risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship delays. xAI lingers at 25.5% on merger synergies, while Anthropic's 7.5% reflects early-2026 IPO whispers at $300 billion-plus valuations; OpenAI trails amid Q4 timing and massive private funding. Upcoming roadshows and filings could shift dynamics rapidly.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,855,853Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 87% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records—bolstered by the February merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for Starship autonomy and Starlink optimization amid 9 million subscribers and record launch cadence. Recent catalysts include a planned June 8 roadshow and reports of $1.5 trillion private valuation, cementing its lead despite execution risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship delays. xAI lingers at 25.5% on merger synergies, while Anthropic's 7.5% reflects early-2026 IPO whispers at $300 billion-plus valuations; OpenAI trails amid Q4 timing and massive private funding. Upcoming roadshows and filings could shift dynamics rapidly.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,855,853Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 87% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—potentially dwarfing historical records—bolstered by the February merger with xAI, integrating advanced AI for Starship autonomy and Starlink optimization amid 9 million subscribers and record launch cadence. Recent catalysts include a planned June 8 roadshow and reports of $1.5 trillion private valuation, cementing its lead despite execution risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship delays. xAI lingers at 25.5% on merger synergies, while Anthropic's 7.5% reflects early-2026 IPO whispers at $300 billion-plus valuations; OpenAI trails amid Q4 timing and massive private funding. Upcoming roadshows and filings could shift dynamics rapidly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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