**Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap odds cluster tightly around the $2.0–2.5 trillion range, reflecting trader consensus on explosive revenue growth offset by valuation uncertainty.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, up from $9 billion at the end of 2025 and $47 billion in May, fueled by Claude API and enterprise adoption. This trajectory, alongside a confidential S-1 filing in June and preparations for a potential mid-October listing, supports market-implied odds near $2 trillion—comparable to SpaceX’s June debut at $1.77 trillion. Key swing factors include 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200 billion, margin sustainability after Q2 2026’s first operating profit, regulatory exposure, and broader tech multiples amid shifting monetary policy. Secondary trading at roughly $1.3 trillion underscores the gap between private benchmarks and public pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2.0–$2.25T 26.5%
$2.25–$2.5T 21%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 16.0%
$677,974 Vol.
$677,974 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
1%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
26%
$2.25–$2.5T
21%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
4%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$2.0–$2.25T 26.5%
$2.25–$2.5T 21%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 16.0%
$677,974 Vol.
$677,974 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<$1.25T
$82,745 Vol.
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
$77,318 Vol.
1%
$1.5–$1.75T
$97,962 Vol.
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
$71,984 Vol.
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
$93,705 Vol.
26%
$2.25–$2.5T
$63,752 Vol.
21%
$2.5–$2.75T
$63,671 Vol.
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
$33,406 Vol.
4%
$3.0T+
$48,728 Vol.
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$44,703 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap odds cluster tightly around the $2.0–2.5 trillion range, reflecting trader consensus on explosive revenue growth offset by valuation uncertainty.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, up from $9 billion at the end of 2025 and $47 billion in May, fueled by Claude API and enterprise adoption. This trajectory, alongside a confidential S-1 filing in June and preparations for a potential mid-October listing, supports market-implied odds near $2 trillion—comparable to SpaceX’s June debut at $1.77 trillion. Key swing factors include 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200 billion, margin sustainability after Q2 2026’s first operating profit, regulatory exposure, and broader tech multiples amid shifting monetary policy. Secondary trading at roughly $1.3 trillion underscores the gap between private benchmarks and public pricing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$677,974Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap odds cluster tightly around the $2.0–2.5 trillion range, reflecting trader consensus on explosive revenue growth offset by valuation uncertainty.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, up from $9 billion at the end of 2025 and $47 billion in May, fueled by Claude API and enterprise adoption. This trajectory, alongside a confidential S-1 filing in June and preparations for a potential mid-October listing, supports market-implied odds near $2 trillion—comparable to SpaceX’s June debut at $1.77 trillion. Key swing factors include 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200 billion, margin sustainability after Q2 2026’s first operating profit, regulatory exposure, and broader tech multiples amid shifting monetary policy. Secondary trading at roughly $1.3 trillion underscores the gap between private benchmarks and public pricing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$677,974Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap odds cluster tightly around the $2.0–2.5 trillion range, reflecting trader consensus on explosive revenue growth offset by valuation uncertainty.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, up from $9 billion at the end of 2025 and $47 billion in May, fueled by Claude API and enterprise adoption. This trajectory, alongside a confidential S-1 filing in June and preparations for a potential mid-October listing, supports market-implied odds near $2 trillion—comparable to SpaceX’s June debut at $1.77 trillion. Key swing factors include 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200 billion, margin sustainability after Q2 2026’s first operating profit, regulatory exposure, and broader tech multiples amid shifting monetary policy. Secondary trading at roughly $1.3 trillion underscores the gap between private benchmarks and public pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Anthropic sarà pari o superiore a 600 miliardi di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
96%
Sì
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
86%
Capitalizzazione di mercato alla chiusura dell'IPO di Anthropic sopra $1,5 trilioni?
95%
Sì
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