Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and its May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation with $47 billion revenue run-rate anchor the current spread in IPO closing market-cap odds. Traders weigh the company's rapid scaling against broader AI-sector volatility, comparable private valuations near $1 trillion, and potential shifts in public-market sentiment or regulatory scrutiny that could compress or expand multiples at debut. With leading buckets clustered between $1.25–1.5 trillion and $2.5–2.75 trillion, outcomes hinge on enterprise adoption momentum, competitive positioning versus OpenAI, and prevailing equity-market conditions for high-growth technology listings expected later in 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1.25–$1.5T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 16%
$1.5–$1.75T 14.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 14%
<$1.25T
9%
$1.25–$1.5T
17%
$1.5–$1.75T
14%
$1.75–$2.0T
12%
$2.0–$2.25T
7%
$2.25–$2.5T
14%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
$1.25–$1.5T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 16%
$1.5–$1.75T 14.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 14%
<$1.25T
9%
$1.25–$1.5T
17%
$1.5–$1.75T
14%
$1.75–$2.0T
12%
$2.0–$2.25T
7%
$2.25–$2.5T
14%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and its May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation with $47 billion revenue run-rate anchor the current spread in IPO closing market-cap odds. Traders weigh the company's rapid scaling against broader AI-sector volatility, comparable private valuations near $1 trillion, and potential shifts in public-market sentiment or regulatory scrutiny that could compress or expand multiples at debut. With leading buckets clustered between $1.25–1.5 trillion and $2.5–2.75 trillion, outcomes hinge on enterprise adoption momentum, competitive positioning versus OpenAI, and prevailing equity-market conditions for high-growth technology listings expected later in 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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