Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May have anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap above $600 billion. Secondary-market trading now implies valuations near $1.2 trillion, reflecting strong Claude model adoption, accelerating enterprise revenue, and the company’s lead in frontier large language models over OpenAI. Ongoing investor meetings ahead of a potential October debut further reinforce this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory scrutiny of AI development, or unexpected delays could compress the final valuation, current momentum and the company’s scale make outcomes below $600 billion appear highly unlikely to traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato600Mrd+ 95.8%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 2.7%
400–600 miliardi 1.0%
<100 miliardi <1%
$420,535 Vol.
$420,535 Vol.
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–200 miliardi
<1%
200–300 miliardi
<1%
300–400 miliardi
<1%
400–600 miliardi
1%
600Mrd+
96%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
3%
600Mrd+ 95.8%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 2.7%
400–600 miliardi 1.0%
<100 miliardi <1%
$420,535 Vol.
$420,535 Vol.
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–200 miliardi
<1%
200–300 miliardi
<1%
300–400 miliardi
<1%
400–600 miliardi
1%
600Mrd+
96%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May have anchored trader expectations for an IPO closing market cap above $600 billion. Secondary-market trading now implies valuations near $1.2 trillion, reflecting strong Claude model adoption, accelerating enterprise revenue, and the company’s lead in frontier large language models over OpenAI. Ongoing investor meetings ahead of a potential October debut further reinforce this positioning. While market volatility, regulatory scrutiny of AI development, or unexpected delays could compress the final valuation, current momentum and the company’s scale make outcomes below $600 billion appear highly unlikely to traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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