Trader sentiment for Anthropic's IPO timing centers on the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, which initiated a standard three-to-six-month review process and positioned an October Nasdaq debut as the leading scenario. Banks including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley are reportedly leading the effort, with investor meetings underway by mid-July to gauge demand ahead of a potential listing targeting valuations near or above $2 trillion. Recent AI model launches and revenue growth have sustained momentum, though broader market conditions, regulatory reviews, or macroeconomic shifts could still influence the exact window. Polymarket's 62% implied probability for October reflects this procedural timeline and skin-in-the-game consensus among traders, while lower odds for September or later months account for typical delays in large-scale tech IPOs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOttobre 2026 62%
Novembre 2026 11%
Settembre 2026 9%
Febbraio 2027 5%
Settembre 2026
9%
Ottobre 2026
62%
Novembre 2026
11%
Dicembre 2026
5%
Gennaio 2027
5%
Febbraio 2027
5%
Marzo 2027
5%
Aprile 2027
4%
Maggio 2027
5%
Giugno 2027
5%
Luglio 2027
4%
Agosto 2027
4%
Settembre 2027
4%
Ottobre 2027
1%
Novembre 2027
4%
Dicembre 2027
4%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
4%
Ottobre 2026 62%
Novembre 2026 11%
Settembre 2026 9%
Febbraio 2027 5%
Settembre 2026
9%
Ottobre 2026
62%
Novembre 2026
11%
Dicembre 2026
5%
Gennaio 2027
5%
Febbraio 2027
5%
Marzo 2027
5%
Aprile 2027
4%
Maggio 2027
5%
Giugno 2027
5%
Luglio 2027
4%
Agosto 2027
4%
Settembre 2027
4%
Ottobre 2027
1%
Novembre 2027
4%
Dicembre 2027
4%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
4%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Anthropic's IPO timing centers on the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, which initiated a standard three-to-six-month review process and positioned an October Nasdaq debut as the leading scenario. Banks including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley are reportedly leading the effort, with investor meetings underway by mid-July to gauge demand ahead of a potential listing targeting valuations near or above $2 trillion. Recent AI model launches and revenue growth have sustained momentum, though broader market conditions, regulatory reviews, or macroeconomic shifts could still influence the exact window. Polymarket's 62% implied probability for October reflects this procedural timeline and skin-in-the-game consensus among traders, while lower odds for September or later months account for typical delays in large-scale tech IPOs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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