Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5—its most agentic mid-tier model to date, with gains in tool use, coding, long-context reasoning, and a permanent price cut to $2/$10 per million tokens—anchors current trader sentiment around the timing of the subsequent Sonnet release. The company has maintained a brisk cadence, shipping Sonnet 4.6 just five months earlier and Opus 5 in late July, reflecting competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on agentic and reasoning benchmarks. No official roadmap or leaks have surfaced for a Sonnet 5.5, 6, or equivalent, leaving the market sensitive to any Anthropic blog posts, API updates, or partner integrations that could signal the next iteration. Traders watch for historical patterns of quarterly-to-biannual major Sonnet upgrades alongside broader LLM release cycles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo sonetto di Claude pubblicato da...?
Il prossimo sonetto di Claude pubblicato da...?
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
31 agosto
11%
31 ottobre
54%
31 dicembre
75%
$3,924 Vol.
31 agosto
$562 Vol.
11%
31 ottobre
$257 Vol.
54%
31 dicembre
$3,105 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5—its most agentic mid-tier model to date, with gains in tool use, coding, long-context reasoning, and a permanent price cut to $2/$10 per million tokens—anchors current trader sentiment around the timing of the subsequent Sonnet release. The company has maintained a brisk cadence, shipping Sonnet 4.6 just five months earlier and Opus 5 in late July, reflecting competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on agentic and reasoning benchmarks. No official roadmap or leaks have surfaced for a Sonnet 5.5, 6, or equivalent, leaving the market sensitive to any Anthropic blog posts, API updates, or partner integrations that could signal the next iteration. Traders watch for historical patterns of quarterly-to-biannual major Sonnet upgrades alongside broader LLM release cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$3,924Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5—its most agentic mid-tier model to date, with gains in tool use, coding, long-context reasoning, and a permanent price cut to $2/$10 per million tokens—anchors current trader sentiment around the timing of the subsequent Sonnet release. The company has maintained a brisk cadence, shipping Sonnet 4.6 just five months earlier and Opus 5 in late July, reflecting competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on agentic and reasoning benchmarks. No official roadmap or leaks have surfaced for a Sonnet 5.5, 6, or equivalent, leaving the market sensitive to any Anthropic blog posts, API updates, or partner integrations that could signal the next iteration. Traders watch for historical patterns of quarterly-to-biannual major Sonnet upgrades alongside broader LLM release cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,924Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5—its most agentic mid-tier model to date, with gains in tool use, coding, long-context reasoning, and a permanent price cut to $2/$10 per million tokens—anchors current trader sentiment around the timing of the subsequent Sonnet release. The company has maintained a brisk cadence, shipping Sonnet 4.6 just five months earlier and Opus 5 in late July, reflecting competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on agentic and reasoning benchmarks. No official roadmap or leaks have surfaced for a Sonnet 5.5, 6, or equivalent, leaving the market sensitive to any Anthropic blog posts, API updates, or partner integrations that could signal the next iteration. Traders watch for historical patterns of quarterly-to-biannual major Sonnet upgrades alongside broader LLM release cycles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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