Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price with gains on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 in June and preceded the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Credible rumors now point to an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with historical 3–8 week gaps between tier updates. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing safety classifier refinements, shapes expectations for timing and capabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any official Anthropic announcements or API listings that could resolve markets quickly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo Claude Opus pubblicato da...?
Il prossimo Claude Opus pubblicato da...?
$125,869 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
81%
17 settembre
15%
20 settembre
32%
24 settembre
60%
27 settembre
57%
31 ottobre
98%
31 dicembre
98%
$125,869 Vol.
30 settembre
$61,465 Vol.
81%
17 settembre
$2,720 Vol.
15%
20 settembre
$909 Vol.
32%
24 settembre
$586 Vol.
60%
27 settembre
$126 Vol.
57%
31 ottobre
$13,502 Vol.
98%
31 dicembre
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price with gains on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 in June and preceded the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Credible rumors now point to an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with historical 3–8 week gaps between tier updates. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing safety classifier refinements, shapes expectations for timing and capabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any official Anthropic announcements or API listings that could resolve markets quickly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$125,869Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price with gains on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 in June and preceded the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Credible rumors now point to an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with historical 3–8 week gaps between tier updates. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing safety classifier refinements, shapes expectations for timing and capabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any official Anthropic announcements or API listings that could resolve markets quickly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$125,869Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment around the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price with gains on coding and agentic benchmarks like Frontier-Bench. This followed Sonnet 5 in June and preceded the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Credible rumors now point to an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with historical 3–8 week gaps between tier updates. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, plus ongoing safety classifier refinements, shapes expectations for timing and capabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any official Anthropic announcements or API listings that could resolve markets quickly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti