OpenAI holds a commanding 78.5% market-implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of September, driven by the early-September release of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the #1 spot on arena.ai’s agentic coding leaderboard with a 1797-point score and a 35-point lead over Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (Max). Traders appear to view this as a decisive edge in real-world web development tasks involving multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative frontend/backend workflows. Anthropic sits at 21% on the strength of its recent Fable 5.1 update, while Google’s Gemini variants and other labs trail far behind at sub-1% levels amid lower arena scores. With resolution just days away and no major new model launches reported, the current consensus reflects GPT-6 Astra’s demonstrated benchmark dominance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di Code Arena WebDev AI alla fine di settembre?
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di Code Arena WebDev AI alla fine di settembre?
OpenAI 78.2%
Anthropic 21%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,872 Vol.
$148,872 Vol.
30 set 2026
OpenAI
78%
Anthropic
21%
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 78.2%
Anthropic 21%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,872 Vol.
$148,872 Vol.
30 set 2026
OpenAI
$29,045 Vol.
78%
Anthropic
$61,821 Vol.
21%
$6,343 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$20,288 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$3,137 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$8,558 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$560 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$571 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$641 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds a commanding 78.5% market-implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of September, driven by the early-September release of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the #1 spot on arena.ai’s agentic coding leaderboard with a 1797-point score and a 35-point lead over Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (Max). Traders appear to view this as a decisive edge in real-world web development tasks involving multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative frontend/backend workflows. Anthropic sits at 21% on the strength of its recent Fable 5.1 update, while Google’s Gemini variants and other labs trail far behind at sub-1% levels amid lower arena scores. With resolution just days away and no major new model launches reported, the current consensus reflects GPT-6 Astra’s demonstrated benchmark dominance.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Volume
$148,872Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds a commanding 78.5% market-implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of September, driven by the early-September release of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the #1 spot on arena.ai’s agentic coding leaderboard with a 1797-point score and a 35-point lead over Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (Max). Traders appear to view this as a decisive edge in real-world web development tasks involving multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative frontend/backend workflows. Anthropic sits at 21% on the strength of its recent Fable 5.1 update, while Google’s Gemini variants and other labs trail far behind at sub-1% levels amid lower arena scores. With resolution just days away and no major new model launches reported, the current consensus reflects GPT-6 Astra’s demonstrated benchmark dominance.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$148,872Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds a commanding 78.5% market-implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of September, driven by the early-September release of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the #1 spot on arena.ai’s agentic coding leaderboard with a 1797-point score and a 35-point lead over Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (Max). Traders appear to view this as a decisive edge in real-world web development tasks involving multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative frontend/backend workflows. Anthropic sits at 21% on the strength of its recent Fable 5.1 update, while Google’s Gemini variants and other labs trail far behind at sub-1% levels amid lower arena scores. With resolution just days away and no major new model launches reported, the current consensus reflects GPT-6 Astra’s demonstrated benchmark dominance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
OpenAI avrà la migliore Code Arena | WebDev AI alla fine di ottobre 2026?
61%
Sì
Anthropic sarà il secondo miglior laboratorio di intelligenza artificiale per WebDev nella Code Arena alla fine di settembre 2026?
81%
Sì
Alibaba sarà il terzo miglior Code Arena | WebDev AI lab alla fine di settembre 2026?
57%
Sì
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