Google and Meta lead trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab position by end of November under style-controlled benchmarks, where factors like response length, formatting, and presentation are normalized to isolate capability. Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently tops unadjusted leaderboards with strong scores across reasoning and intelligence indices, while OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra excels in agentic tasks, yet Google's Gemini efficiency updates and Meta's Muse Spark and Llama variants gain ground when style biases are removed. This dynamic reflects intense competition in model releases, pricing, and developer adoption amid rapid September 2026 launches, with resolution hinging on any late-quarter benchmark shifts or new model drops before the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato#2 AI Lab fine novembre? (Controllo stile attivato)
#2 AI Lab fine novembre? (Controllo stile attivato)
Google 29%
Meta 28%
MiniMax 8.5%
Tencent 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
29%
Meta
28%
MiniMax
8%
Tencent
8%
Mistral
8%
DeepSeek
8%
Anthropic
8%
OpenAI
7%
Z.ai
5%
Moonshot
4%
Xiaomi
4%
ByteDance
4%
Microsoft
4%
Nvidia
4%
Amazon
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
Meituan
3%
Thinky
3%
Alibaba
2%
StepFun
2%
Baidu
2%
Google 29%
Meta 28%
MiniMax 8.5%
Tencent 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
$347 Vol.
29%
Meta
$398 Vol.
28%
MiniMax
$93 Vol.
8%
Tencent
$216 Vol.
8%
Mistral
$93 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$203 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$135 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$115 Vol.
7%
Z.ai
$134 Vol.
5%
Moonshot
$93 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$93 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$93 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$93 Vol.
4%
Nvidia
$93 Vol.
4%
Amazon
$93 Vol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$113 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$93 Vol.
3%
Thinky
$88 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$137 Vol.
2%
StepFun
$93 Vol.
2%
Baidu
$137 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google and Meta lead trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab position by end of November under style-controlled benchmarks, where factors like response length, formatting, and presentation are normalized to isolate capability. Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently tops unadjusted leaderboards with strong scores across reasoning and intelligence indices, while OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra excels in agentic tasks, yet Google's Gemini efficiency updates and Meta's Muse Spark and Llama variants gain ground when style biases are removed. This dynamic reflects intense competition in model releases, pricing, and developer adoption amid rapid September 2026 launches, with resolution hinging on any late-quarter benchmark shifts or new model drops before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Volume
$2,956Data di fine
1 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google and Meta lead trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab position by end of November under style-controlled benchmarks, where factors like response length, formatting, and presentation are normalized to isolate capability. Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently tops unadjusted leaderboards with strong scores across reasoning and intelligence indices, while OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra excels in agentic tasks, yet Google's Gemini efficiency updates and Meta's Muse Spark and Llama variants gain ground when style biases are removed. This dynamic reflects intense competition in model releases, pricing, and developer adoption amid rapid September 2026 launches, with resolution hinging on any late-quarter benchmark shifts or new model drops before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,956Data di fine
1 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Google and Meta lead trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab position by end of November under style-controlled benchmarks, where factors like response length, formatting, and presentation are normalized to isolate capability. Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 currently tops unadjusted leaderboards with strong scores across reasoning and intelligence indices, while OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra excels in agentic tasks, yet Google's Gemini efficiency updates and Meta's Muse Spark and Llama variants gain ground when style biases are removed. This dynamic reflects intense competition in model releases, pricing, and developer adoption amid rapid September 2026 launches, with resolution hinging on any late-quarter benchmark shifts or new model drops before the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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