Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation continues to shape market expectations ahead of 2027. Multiple bills introduced in the 119th Congress, including the AI Accountability Act and proposals for federal oversight mechanisms, remain stalled in committee without floor votes or bipartisan consensus. The Trump administration’s March 2026 National Policy Framework and December 2025 executive order emphasize a light-touch federal approach and state-law preemption, yet Congress twice rejected related moratorium language. Meanwhile, states such as Colorado and Connecticut have enacted their own rules, reinforcing a patchwork that reduces pressure for immediate national standards. With midterms approaching and no scheduled votes on binding safety requirements, traders assign a 70.5 percent probability that no such federal bill will pass before the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$98,190 Vol.
$98,190 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$98,190 Vol.
$98,190 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation continues to shape market expectations ahead of 2027. Multiple bills introduced in the 119th Congress, including the AI Accountability Act and proposals for federal oversight mechanisms, remain stalled in committee without floor votes or bipartisan consensus. The Trump administration’s March 2026 National Policy Framework and December 2025 executive order emphasize a light-touch federal approach and state-law preemption, yet Congress twice rejected related moratorium language. Meanwhile, states such as Colorado and Connecticut have enacted their own rules, reinforcing a patchwork that reduces pressure for immediate national standards. With midterms approaching and no scheduled votes on binding safety requirements, traders assign a 70.5 percent probability that no such federal bill will pass before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$98,190Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation continues to shape market expectations ahead of 2027. Multiple bills introduced in the 119th Congress, including the AI Accountability Act and proposals for federal oversight mechanisms, remain stalled in committee without floor votes or bipartisan consensus. The Trump administration’s March 2026 National Policy Framework and December 2025 executive order emphasize a light-touch federal approach and state-law preemption, yet Congress twice rejected related moratorium language. Meanwhile, states such as Colorado and Connecticut have enacted their own rules, reinforcing a patchwork that reduces pressure for immediate national standards. With midterms approaching and no scheduled votes on binding safety requirements, traders assign a 70.5 percent probability that no such federal bill will pass before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$98,190Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation continues to shape market expectations ahead of 2027. Multiple bills introduced in the 119th Congress, including the AI Accountability Act and proposals for federal oversight mechanisms, remain stalled in committee without floor votes or bipartisan consensus. The Trump administration’s March 2026 National Policy Framework and December 2025 executive order emphasize a light-touch federal approach and state-law preemption, yet Congress twice rejected related moratorium language. Meanwhile, states such as Colorado and Connecticut have enacted their own rules, reinforcing a patchwork that reduces pressure for immediate national standards. With midterms approaching and no scheduled votes on binding safety requirements, traders assign a 70.5 percent probability that no such federal bill will pass before the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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