Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.25 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, with consolidated revenue up 24% to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion on AI infrastructure demand, offset by sharply higher capex guidance of $195–205 billion that pressured free cash flow. Traders assign the highest implied probability (29%) to the $4.00–4.50 trillion range at year-end, with the $4.50–5.00 trillion bin close behind at 23.5%, underscoring uncertainty over whether accelerating cloud backlog and search ad momentum can outpace ongoing AI investments and potential regulatory costs. Q3 results, due late October, and sustained enterprise AI adoption remain key near-term swing factors for the final months of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$4.00-$4.50T 30%
$4.50-$5.00T 23%
$3.50-$4.00T 15%
$5.00-$5.50T 12.7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
<$3.50T
9%
$3.50-$4.00T
15%
$4.00-$4.50T
30%
$4.50-$5.00T
23%
$5.00-$5.50T
13%
$5.50-$6.00T
6%
6,00T+
3%
$4.00-$4.50T 30%
$4.50-$5.00T 23%
$3.50-$4.00T 15%
$5.00-$5.50T 12.7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
<$3.50T
$811 Vol.
9%
$3.50-$4.00T
$1,581 Vol.
15%
$4.00-$4.50T
$405 Vol.
30%
$4.50-$5.00T
$588 Vol.
23%
$5.00-$5.50T
$236 Vol.
13%
$5.50-$6.00T
$770 Vol.
6%
6,00T+
$966 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.25 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, with consolidated revenue up 24% to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion on AI infrastructure demand, offset by sharply higher capex guidance of $195–205 billion that pressured free cash flow. Traders assign the highest implied probability (29%) to the $4.00–4.50 trillion range at year-end, with the $4.50–5.00 trillion bin close behind at 23.5%, underscoring uncertainty over whether accelerating cloud backlog and search ad momentum can outpace ongoing AI investments and potential regulatory costs. Q3 results, due late October, and sustained enterprise AI adoption remain key near-term swing factors for the final months of 2026.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Volume
$5,357Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.25 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, with consolidated revenue up 24% to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion on AI infrastructure demand, offset by sharply higher capex guidance of $195–205 billion that pressured free cash flow. Traders assign the highest implied probability (29%) to the $4.00–4.50 trillion range at year-end, with the $4.50–5.00 trillion bin close behind at 23.5%, underscoring uncertainty over whether accelerating cloud backlog and search ad momentum can outpace ongoing AI investments and potential regulatory costs. Q3 results, due late October, and sustained enterprise AI adoption remain key near-term swing factors for the final months of 2026.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$5,357Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.25 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, with consolidated revenue up 24% to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion on AI infrastructure demand, offset by sharply higher capex guidance of $195–205 billion that pressured free cash flow. Traders assign the highest implied probability (29%) to the $4.00–4.50 trillion range at year-end, with the $4.50–5.00 trillion bin close behind at 23.5%, underscoring uncertainty over whether accelerating cloud backlog and search ad momentum can outpace ongoing AI investments and potential regulatory costs. Q3 results, due late October, and sustained enterprise AI adoption remain key near-term swing factors for the final months of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Alphabet sarà compresa tra 4,00 e 4,50 trilioni di dollari alla fine di ottobre 2026?
42%
Sì
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?
84%
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Apple sarà compresa tra 5,00 e 5,50 trilioni di dollari alla fine del 2026?
28%
Sì
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