Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo

Ricardo Ferraço 65%

Lorenzo Pazolini 33%

Sergio Vidigal <1%

Arnaldinho Borgo <1%

Polymarket

$40,175 Vol.

Ricardo Ferraço 65%

Lorenzo Pazolini 33%

Sergio Vidigal <1%

Arnaldinho Borgo <1%

Polymarket

$40,175 Vol.

Ricardo Ferraço

$14,350 Vol.

65%

Lorenzo Pazolini

$13,943 Vol.

33%

Sergio Vidigal

$3,569 Vol.

<1%

Arnaldinho Borgo

$4,885 Vol.

<1%

Euclério Sampaio

$3,428 Vol.

<1%

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 64.5% due to consistent polling advantages in first-round and runoff scenarios. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and others show him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor positioned at 32.5%, often by double digits in head-to-head matchups, backed by a broad coalition including PP and PSB. Pazolini’s campaign draws on his local executive record but trails amid Ferraço’s focus on fiscal continuity and public security. Other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) and minor names register negligible shares, aligning with their distant polling results ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$40,175
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 64.5% due to consistent polling advantages in first-round and runoff scenarios. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and others show him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor positioned at 32.5%, often by double digits in head-to-head matchups, backed by a broad coalition including PP and PSB. Pazolini’s campaign draws on his local executive record but trails amid Ferraço’s focus on fiscal continuity and public security. Other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) and minor names register negligible shares, aligning with their distant polling results ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$40,175
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Tarcísio de Freitas vincerà le elezioni governative di San Paolo del 2026?

Tarcísio de Freitas vincerà le elezioni governative di San Paolo del 2026?

99%
Sì
icon for Sergio Moro vincerà le elezioni per Governatore del Paraná?

Sergio Moro vincerà le elezioni per Governatore del Paraná?

83%
Sì
icon for Hana Ghassan vincerà le elezioni per il Governatore del Pará?

Hana Ghassan vincerà le elezioni per il Governatore del Pará?

55%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ricardo Ferraço" a 65%, seguito da "Lorenzo Pazolini" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 65¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo" ha generato $40.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 12, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo" è "Ricardo Ferraço" a 65%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Lorenzo Pazolini" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.