Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the market’s narrow lead amid a fragmented field of pre-candidates. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in both first-round and runoff scenarios, supported by 77% approval and new alliances including the União Progressista federation. Earlier Quaest surveys indicated technical ties among four or more contenders, reflecting the state’s multi-party dynamics and the October 4 first-round structure that often forces runoffs. Opposition names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, Euclério Sampaio, and others remain in contention, with coalition negotiations and candidate consolidation likely to determine whether the race separates before election day. Traders price the outcome as competitive given these structural and polling factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Espírito Santo
Ricardo Ferraço 55%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Euclério Sampaio 12%
Arnaldinho Borgo 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
55%
Lorenzo Pazolini
29%
Euclério Sampaio
12%
Arnaldinho Borgo
8%
Sergio Vidigal
3%
Ricardo Ferraço 55%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Euclério Sampaio 12%
Arnaldinho Borgo 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$60 Vol.
55%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$120 Vol.
29%
Euclério Sampaio
$45 Vol.
12%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$121 Vol.
8%
Sergio Vidigal
$37 Vol.
3%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the market’s narrow lead amid a fragmented field of pre-candidates. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in both first-round and runoff scenarios, supported by 77% approval and new alliances including the União Progressista federation. Earlier Quaest surveys indicated technical ties among four or more contenders, reflecting the state’s multi-party dynamics and the October 4 first-round structure that often forces runoffs. Opposition names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, Euclério Sampaio, and others remain in contention, with coalition negotiations and candidate consolidation likely to determine whether the race separates before election day. Traders price the outcome as competitive given these structural and polling factors.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$383Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the market’s narrow lead amid a fragmented field of pre-candidates. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in both first-round and runoff scenarios, supported by 77% approval and new alliances including the União Progressista federation. Earlier Quaest surveys indicated technical ties among four or more contenders, reflecting the state’s multi-party dynamics and the October 4 first-round structure that often forces runoffs. Opposition names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, Euclério Sampaio, and others remain in contention, with coalition negotiations and candidate consolidation likely to determine whether the race separates before election day. Traders price the outcome as competitive given these structural and polling factors.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$383Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the market’s narrow lead amid a fragmented field of pre-candidates. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in both first-round and runoff scenarios, supported by 77% approval and new alliances including the União Progressista federation. Earlier Quaest surveys indicated technical ties among four or more contenders, reflecting the state’s multi-party dynamics and the October 4 first-round structure that often forces runoffs. Opposition names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, Euclério Sampaio, and others remain in contention, with coalition negotiations and candidate consolidation likely to determine whether the race separates before election day. Traders price the outcome as competitive given these structural and polling factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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