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icon for Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?

Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?

icon for Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?

Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?

75-84 33%

55-64 30%

45-54 29%

65-74 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

75-84 33%

55-64 30%

45-54 29%

65-74 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Sotto i 45

$45 Vol.

37%

45-54

$50 Vol.

29%

55-64

$44 Vol.

51%

65-74

$27 Vol.

18%

75-84

$5 Vol.

33%

85+

$5 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. **The 55-64 age bracket leads at 56.5% because prominent early frontrunners such as Kamala Harris (age 64 in 2028) and Gavin Newsom (age 61) top most national polling averages, while other governors and senators like Gretchen Whitmer and Josh Shapiro also fall in this range.** Recent signals reinforce this positioning: Harris has repeatedly indicated she is weighing a bid, and Newsom stated on September 14 that he would not run if she enters, reducing direct competition from another top-tier name in the same cohort. The Under 45 outcome at 39% draws support from rising younger figures including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (age 39) and Jon Ossoff (age 41), who have posted gains in select surveys and prediction markets amid broader discussion of generational change. The 45-54 bracket at 28.5% benefits from candidates such as Pete Buttigieg (age 46). The field remains wide open with no formal declarations, leaving room for shifts from polling trends, endorsements, or primary calendar decisions ahead of 2028.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$175
Data di fine
31 ago 2028
Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. **The 55-64 age bracket leads at 56.5% because prominent early frontrunners such as Kamala Harris (age 64 in 2028) and Gavin Newsom (age 61) top most national polling averages, while other governors and senators like Gretchen Whitmer and Josh Shapiro also fall in this range.** Recent signals reinforce this positioning: Harris has repeatedly indicated she is weighing a bid, and Newsom stated on September 14 that he would not run if she enters, reducing direct competition from another top-tier name in the same cohort. The Under 45 outcome at 39% draws support from rising younger figures including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (age 39) and Jon Ossoff (age 41), who have posted gains in select surveys and prediction markets amid broader discussion of generational change. The 45-54 bracket at 28.5% benefits from candidates such as Pete Buttigieg (age 46). The field remains wide open with no formal declarations, leaving room for shifts from polling trends, endorsements, or primary calendar decisions ahead of 2028.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$175
Data di fine
31 ago 2028
Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "55-64" a 51%, seguito da "Sotto i 45" a 37%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 51¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 51% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 15, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?" è "55-64" a 51%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 51% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sotto i 45" a 37%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Età del candidato presidenziale democratico del 2028?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.