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icon for Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa
Politica·Midterms

Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa

icon for Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa
Politica·Midterms

Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa

Polymarket
NUOVO
Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Katie Hobbs (D)

Katie Hobbs (D)

$93 Vol.

90%

icon for Andy Biggs (R)

Andy Biggs (R)

$44 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 89.5% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election due to her consistent double-digit lead in recent statewide polls, strong performance among independents and women in the Phoenix metro area, and incumbency advantages as the Democratic governor seeking a second term. Andy Biggs, who secured the Republican nomination in the July 21 primary with roughly 73% of the vote, trails at 9.5% amid weaker GOP consolidation in suburban Maricopa precincts and the county's recent Democratic tilt in statewide races. The November 3 contest features Hobbs paired with running mate John Giles against Biggs and Sine Kerr, with no major late developments shifting the county-specific outlook beyond established polling trends and registration patterns.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$137
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 89.5% implied probability of winning Maricopa County in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election due to her consistent double-digit lead in recent statewide polls, strong performance among independents and women in the Phoenix metro area, and incumbency advantages as the Democratic governor seeking a second term. Andy Biggs, who secured the Republican nomination in the July 21 primary with roughly 73% of the vote, trails at 9.5% amid weaker GOP consolidation in suburban Maricopa precincts and the county's recent Democratic tilt in statewide races. The November 3 contest features Hobbs paired with running mate John Giles against Biggs and Sine Kerr, with no major late developments shifting the county-specific outlook beyond established polling trends and registration patterns.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$137
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.

Correlati

icon for I Democratici vinceranno nella contea di Clark alle elezioni del governatore del Nevada nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno nella contea di Clark alle elezioni del governatore del Nevada nel 2026?

82%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno la corsa a governatore dell'Arizona nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la corsa a governatore dell'Arizona nel 2026?

88%
Sì
icon for Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Governatore dell'Arizona sarà compreso tra 2.450.000 e 2.600.000?

Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Governatore dell'Arizona sarà compreso tra 2.450.000 e 2.600.000?

32%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Katie Hobbs (D)" a 90%, seguito da "Andy Biggs (R)" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 90¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 1, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa" è "Katie Hobbs (D)" a 90%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Andy Biggs (R)" a 10%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del governatore dell'Arizona: vincitore della contea di Maricopa" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.