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icon for Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau
Politica·Midterms

Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau

icon for Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau
Politica·Midterms

Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau

Polymarket
NUOVO
Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Bruce Blakeman (R)

Bruce Blakeman (R)

$350 Vol.

87%

icon for Kathy Hochul (D)

Kathy Hochul (D)

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County Executive, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying Nassau County in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, compared with 13.5% for Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Traders price the county as a Republican stronghold due to Blakeman’s strong local record, including his 2025 re-election victory there by double digits, and Nassau’s recent pattern of backing GOP candidates in statewide races such as 2022. Hochul’s position reflects weaker suburban performance amid statewide polling trends showing her lead narrowing to 10 points or less in recent Siena surveys, with independents and suburban voters showing more openness to the challenger. Minor candidates and “other” options remain low-probability alternatives with negligible local traction. No major late-August or early-September developments have altered this county-level positioning ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Volume
$350
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County Executive, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying Nassau County in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, compared with 13.5% for Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Traders price the county as a Republican stronghold due to Blakeman’s strong local record, including his 2025 re-election victory there by double digits, and Nassau’s recent pattern of backing GOP candidates in statewide races such as 2022. Hochul’s position reflects weaker suburban performance amid statewide polling trends showing her lead narrowing to 10 points or less in recent Siena surveys, with independents and suburban voters showing more openness to the challenger. Minor candidates and “other” options remain low-probability alternatives with negligible local traction. No major late-August or early-September developments have altered this county-level positioning ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Volume
$350
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.

Correlati

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44%
Sì
icon for Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Governatore di New York sarà compreso tra 4.500.000 e 5.000.000?

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46%
Sì
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Bruce Blakeman (R)" a 87%, seguito da "Kathy Hochul (D)" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 87¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 87% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 2, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau" è "Bruce Blakeman (R)" a 87%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 87% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kathy Hochul (D)" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del governatore di New York: vincitore della contea di Nassau" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.