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icon for Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent
Politica·Midterms

Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent

icon for Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent
Politica·Midterms

Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent

Polymarket
NUOVO
Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Abdul El-Sayed (D)

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

$46 Vol.

88%

icon for Mike Rogers (R)

Mike Rogers (R)

$45 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat after narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the leading general-election contender in Kent County according to trader consensus. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side following his 2024 loss, bringing prior congressional experience and establishment support. Kent County, encompassing the Grand Rapids metro area with a mix of suburban and urban voters, has seen shifting partisan margins in recent cycles, and current implied probabilities reflect expectations that El-Sayed’s emphasis on public health, cost-of-living issues, and turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs could deliver a county plurality on November 3. Third-party and write-in options remain available but show limited traction in the pricing. Upcoming factors such as fall campaigning, turnout patterns in battleground precincts, and any late shifts in statewide polling could still alter county-level outcomes before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Volume
$92
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat after narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the leading general-election contender in Kent County according to trader consensus. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side following his 2024 loss, bringing prior congressional experience and establishment support. Kent County, encompassing the Grand Rapids metro area with a mix of suburban and urban voters, has seen shifting partisan margins in recent cycles, and current implied probabilities reflect expectations that El-Sayed’s emphasis on public health, cost-of-living issues, and turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs could deliver a county plurality on November 3. Third-party and write-in options remain available but show limited traction in the pricing. Upcoming factors such as fall campaigning, turnout patterns in battleground precincts, and any late shifts in statewide polling could still alter county-level outcomes before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Volume
$92
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.

Correlati

icon for I Democratici vinceranno la contea di Oakland nella corsa al Senato del Michigan nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la contea di Oakland nella corsa al Senato del Michigan nel 2026?

94%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno la contea di Genesee nella corsa al Senato del Michigan nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la contea di Genesee nella corsa al Senato del Michigan nel 2026?

87%
Sì
icon for Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni per il Senato del Michigan del 2026 con un margine tra 0% e 3%?

Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni per il Senato del Michigan del 2026 con un margine tra 0% e 3%?

23%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" a 88%, seguito da "Mike Rogers (R)" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 88¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 1, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent" è "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" a 88%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 88% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Mike Rogers (R)" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato del Michigan: vincitore della contea di Kent" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.