**Republican Maria Elvira Salazar**, the incumbent since 2021, holds a strong position in Florida’s 27th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. She won re-election in 2024 by roughly 21 points, and recent fundraising and primary filings show her well-positioned against limited Republican challengers. The district’s new map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by courts, contributes to an expected statewide 24–4 Republican advantage and reinforces the seat’s partisan tilt. Democratic primary contenders remain fragmented with no dominant candidate emerging in early polling, limiting immediate general-election threat levels. Broader South Florida trends and Democratic performance in recent special elections have drawn some trader attention, but these have not materially altered the seat’s competitive profile. Primary elections scheduled for August 18, 2026, will narrow both fields before the November contest. Current market pricing reflects the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s underlying partisan balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-27 House Election Winner
FL-27 House Election Winner
$13,850 Vol.
$13,850 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
32%
$13,850 Vol.
$13,850 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$5,981 Vol.
64%
Democratic Party
$7,869 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Maria Elvira Salazar**, the incumbent since 2021, holds a strong position in Florida’s 27th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. She won re-election in 2024 by roughly 21 points, and recent fundraising and primary filings show her well-positioned against limited Republican challengers. The district’s new map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by courts, contributes to an expected statewide 24–4 Republican advantage and reinforces the seat’s partisan tilt.
Democratic primary contenders remain fragmented with no dominant candidate emerging in early polling, limiting immediate general-election threat levels. Broader South Florida trends and Democratic performance in recent special elections have drawn some trader attention, but these have not materially altered the seat’s competitive profile. Primary elections scheduled for August 18, 2026, will narrow both fields before the November contest. Current market pricing reflects the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s underlying partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$13,850Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Maria Elvira Salazar**, the incumbent since 2021, holds a strong position in Florida’s 27th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. She won re-election in 2024 by roughly 21 points, and recent fundraising and primary filings show her well-positioned against limited Republican challengers. The district’s new map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by courts, contributes to an expected statewide 24–4 Republican advantage and reinforces the seat’s partisan tilt.
Democratic primary contenders remain fragmented with no dominant candidate emerging in early polling, limiting immediate general-election threat levels. Broader South Florida trends and Democratic performance in recent special elections have drawn some trader attention, but these have not materially altered the seat’s competitive profile. Primary elections scheduled for August 18, 2026, will narrow both fields before the November contest. Current market pricing reflects the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s underlying partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,850Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican Maria Elvira Salazar**, the incumbent since 2021, holds a strong position in Florida’s 27th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. She won re-election in 2024 by roughly 21 points, and recent fundraising and primary filings show her well-positioned against limited Republican challengers. The district’s new map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by courts, contributes to an expected statewide 24–4 Republican advantage and reinforces the seat’s partisan tilt. Democratic primary contenders remain fragmented with no dominant candidate emerging in early polling, limiting immediate general-election threat levels. Broader South Florida trends and Democratic performance in recent special elections have drawn some trader attention, but these have not materially altered the seat’s competitive profile. Primary elections scheduled for August 18, 2026, will narrow both fields before the November contest. Current market pricing reflects the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s underlying partisan balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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