Trader consensus prices Republicans at 70.5% to retain Florida's 27th Congressional District, reflecting incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong track record—60.4% victory in 2024, 57.3% in 2022—and the district's shift to R+6 Cook PVI following Gov. DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, bolstered by Salazar's $1.9 million cash-on-hand advantage as of March and her likely easy Republican primary against minor challengers. Democrats' fragmented primary field—featuring Eliott Rodriguez, Robin Peguero, Mike Davey, Alexander Fornino, and Lev Parnas—lacks consolidation ahead of the August 18 primaries, with March polls showing tight hypotheticals but no fresher surveys to challenge the GOP edge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-27 House Election Winner
FL-27 House Election Winner
$10,194 Vol.
$10,194 Vol.
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
27%
$10,194 Vol.
$10,194 Vol.
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
27%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republicans at 70.5% to retain Florida's 27th Congressional District, reflecting incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong track record—60.4% victory in 2024, 57.3% in 2022—and the district's shift to R+6 Cook PVI following Gov. DeSantis' mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, bolstered by Salazar's $1.9 million cash-on-hand advantage as of March and her likely easy Republican primary against minor challengers. Democrats' fragmented primary field—featuring Eliott Rodriguez, Robin Peguero, Mike Davey, Alexander Fornino, and Lev Parnas—lacks consolidation ahead of the August 18 primaries, with March polls showing tight hypotheticals but no fresher surveys to challenge the GOP edge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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