Recent polling averages ahead of the October 27 Israeli legislative election position Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party as the largest faction in the Knesset, with projected seat totals of 22–23 compared to 19–21 for Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud. This gap has widened in final surveys following Benny Gantz’s withdrawal from the race and reflects voter priorities on security, the economy, and coalition viability. Neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc nor the main opposition grouping reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority, leaving small parties and potential Arab-list support as pivotal in post-election negotiations. Traders’ consensus therefore favors Yashar securing the most seats, though the fragmented results point to extended coalition talks regardless of which party leads.