North Dakota's at-large congressional seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state's consistent partisan alignment, where Republican presidential candidates have carried it by wide margins in recent cycles, including a 36-point victory in 2024. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary, building on her 2024 general election win by nearly 39 points against the same Democratic opponent, Trygve Hammer. Nonpartisan election forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, low voter registration advantages for the party, and the structural benefits of incumbency in a low-population, rural state. Trader consensus at 94% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major late-cycle development such as a health issue for the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della ND-AL House
Vincitore delle elezioni della ND-AL House
$52,571 Vol.
$52,571 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
4%
$52,571 Vol.
$52,571 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$35,810 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$16,761 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state's consistent partisan alignment, where Republican presidential candidates have carried it by wide margins in recent cycles, including a 36-point victory in 2024. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary, building on her 2024 general election win by nearly 39 points against the same Democratic opponent, Trygve Hammer. Nonpartisan election forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, low voter registration advantages for the party, and the structural benefits of incumbency in a low-population, rural state. Trader consensus at 94% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major late-cycle development such as a health issue for the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$52,571Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state's consistent partisan alignment, where Republican presidential candidates have carried it by wide margins in recent cycles, including a 36-point victory in 2024. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary, building on her 2024 general election win by nearly 39 points against the same Democratic opponent, Trygve Hammer. Nonpartisan election forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, low voter registration advantages for the party, and the structural benefits of incumbency in a low-population, rural state. Trader consensus at 94% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major late-cycle development such as a health issue for the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,571Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state's consistent partisan alignment, where Republican presidential candidates have carried it by wide margins in recent cycles, including a 36-point victory in 2024. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary, building on her 2024 general election win by nearly 39 points against the same Democratic opponent, Trygve Hammer. Nonpartisan election forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, low voter registration advantages for the party, and the structural benefits of incumbency in a low-population, rural state. Trader consensus at 94% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major late-cycle development such as a health issue for the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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