Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari secured the nomination unopposed in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor-party or write-in opposition, including limited Republican efforts that failed to produce a competitive general-election candidate in the majority-Latino district centered on downtown and western Phoenix. These structural factors, combined with the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating any viable challenge, have produced the current trader consensus on the outcome. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically alter the race, though such developments remain uncommon in similarly rated seats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAZ-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
AZ-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$50,532 Vol.
$50,532 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
98%
Partito Repubblicano
1%
$50,532 Vol.
$50,532 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$31,663 Vol.
98%
Partito Repubblicano
$18,869 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari secured the nomination unopposed in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor-party or write-in opposition, including limited Republican efforts that failed to produce a competitive general-election candidate in the majority-Latino district centered on downtown and western Phoenix. These structural factors, combined with the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating any viable challenge, have produced the current trader consensus on the outcome. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically alter the race, though such developments remain uncommon in similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$50,532Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari secured the nomination unopposed in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor-party or write-in opposition, including limited Republican efforts that failed to produce a competitive general-election candidate in the majority-Latino district centered on downtown and western Phoenix. These structural factors, combined with the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating any viable challenge, have produced the current trader consensus on the outcome. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically alter the race, though such developments remain uncommon in similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$50,532Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari secured the nomination unopposed in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor-party or write-in opposition, including limited Republican efforts that failed to produce a competitive general-election candidate in the majority-Latino district centered on downtown and western Phoenix. These structural factors, combined with the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating any viable challenge, have produced the current trader consensus on the outcome. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically alter the race, though such developments remain uncommon in similarly rated seats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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