Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with the November 3 general election following August 18 primaries. Trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 77.5% reflects the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for GOP presidential and statewide candidates, combined with early polling leads for top Republican contenders such as Rep. Byron Donalds (who holds a commanding primary advantage backed by a Trump endorsement) over Democratic frontrunner David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Fundraising disparities, undecided voter patterns favoring the GOP in head-to-head tests, and the absence of structural Democratic advantages in Florida's electorate continue to anchor these probabilities, though primary results and any late shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$24,399 Vol.
$24,399 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican
77%
Democrat
23%
$24,399 Vol.
$24,399 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican
$10,129 Vol.
77%
Democrat
$14,270 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with the November 3 general election following August 18 primaries. Trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 77.5% reflects the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for GOP presidential and statewide candidates, combined with early polling leads for top Republican contenders such as Rep. Byron Donalds (who holds a commanding primary advantage backed by a Trump endorsement) over Democratic frontrunner David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Fundraising disparities, undecided voter patterns favoring the GOP in head-to-head tests, and the absence of structural Democratic advantages in Florida's electorate continue to anchor these probabilities, though primary results and any late shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$24,399Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with the November 3 general election following August 18 primaries. Trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 77.5% reflects the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for GOP presidential and statewide candidates, combined with early polling leads for top Republican contenders such as Rep. Byron Donalds (who holds a commanding primary advantage backed by a Trump endorsement) over Democratic frontrunner David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Fundraising disparities, undecided voter patterns favoring the GOP in head-to-head tests, and the absence of structural Democratic advantages in Florida's electorate continue to anchor these probabilities, though primary results and any late shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,399Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with the November 3 general election following August 18 primaries. Trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 77.5% reflects the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for GOP presidential and statewide candidates, combined with early polling leads for top Republican contenders such as Rep. Byron Donalds (who holds a commanding primary advantage backed by a Trump endorsement) over Democratic frontrunner David Jolly or Jerry Demings. Fundraising disparities, undecided voter patterns favoring the GOP in head-to-head tests, and the absence of structural Democratic advantages in Florida's electorate continue to anchor these probabilities, though primary results and any late shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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