Redistricting enacted by Florida’s Republican-led Legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District from a D+4 to an R+8 partisan voting index, incorporating more rural counties and reducing its Hispanic population share. This change positioned the seat as a likely Republican pickup according to multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in the August 18 Democratic primary, while a crowded Republican primary concluded days later with Dan Green emerging as nominee after a narrow win. These structural and candidate developments underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$18,585 Vol.
$18,585 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
29%
$18,585 Vol.
$18,585 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$10,903 Vol.
72%
Democratic Party
$7,682 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted by Florida’s Republican-led Legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District from a D+4 to an R+8 partisan voting index, incorporating more rural counties and reducing its Hispanic population share. This change positioned the seat as a likely Republican pickup according to multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in the August 18 Democratic primary, while a crowded Republican primary concluded days later with Dan Green emerging as nominee after a narrow win. These structural and candidate developments underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$18,585Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted by Florida’s Republican-led Legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District from a D+4 to an R+8 partisan voting index, incorporating more rural counties and reducing its Hispanic population share. This change positioned the seat as a likely Republican pickup according to multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in the August 18 Democratic primary, while a crowded Republican primary concluded days later with Dan Green emerging as nominee after a narrow win. These structural and candidate developments underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,585Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting enacted by Florida’s Republican-led Legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District from a D+4 to an R+8 partisan voting index, incorporating more rural counties and reducing its Hispanic population share. This change positioned the seat as a likely Republican pickup according to multiple forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in the August 18 Democratic primary, while a crowded Republican primary concluded days later with Dan Green emerging as nominee after a narrow win. These structural and candidate developments underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti