Republican incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index around R+19. The area delivered a 38-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, and Meuser secured 70.5% in his most recent general election. He advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in fundraising, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 96.7% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for incumbents in similarly red districts. A major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-09 House Election Winner
PA-09 House Election Winner
$21,279 Vol.
$21,279 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
3%
$21,279 Vol.
$21,279 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$13,578 Vol.
97%
Democratic Party
$7,702 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index around R+19. The area delivered a 38-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, and Meuser secured 70.5% in his most recent general election. He advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in fundraising, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 96.7% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for incumbents in similarly red districts. A major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$21,279Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index around R+19. The area delivered a 38-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, and Meuser secured 70.5% in his most recent general election. He advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in fundraising, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 96.7% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for incumbents in similarly red districts. A major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,279Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index around R+19. The area delivered a 38-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, and Meuser secured 70.5% in his most recent general election. He advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Rachel Wallace emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural barriers in fundraising, voter registration, and turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 96.7% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for incumbents in similarly red districts. A major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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