James Uthmeier holds an 86% implied probability in the Florida attorney general race as the Republican incumbent appointed in early 2025, while Democrat José Javier Rodriguez sits at 13%. Both advanced unopposed through August primaries in a state where Republicans maintain a sizable voter registration advantage. Recent polling through late October showed Uthmeier leading by single digits in a contest viewed as leaning Republican, consistent with historical statewide results and the broader midterm environment. Uthmeier’s record includes high-profile litigation on technology regulation and immigration enforcement, alongside endorsements from state law enforcement groups. Rodriguez, a former state senator and federal labor official, emphasized critiques of Uthmeier’s tenure and policy priorities. With voting concluded on November 3, the current trader consensus reflects the structural and polling backdrop favoring the Republican nominee, though final certified results remain pending.