Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the April 2026 death of longtime Representative David Scott, triggering a special election. In the July 28 special general election, Democratic candidates combined for over 86% of the vote, advancing Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. to the August 25 runoff while Republicans received under 14% combined. The district's voter composition, consistent with prior cycles where Democratic nominees prevailed by wide margins, underpins the 96.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner. With the runoff occurring in nine days and no Republican on the ballot, the outcome hinges on Democratic primary dynamics rather than partisan competition. Rare developments such as a significant candidate withdrawal, disqualifying scandal, or unforeseen legal intervention could theoretically reopen the race, though historical patterns in similar safe-seat special elections show minimal volatility once intra-party contests are settled.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera GA-13
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera GA-13
$35,319 Vol.
$35,319 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$35,319 Vol.
$35,319 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$16,060 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$19,259 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the April 2026 death of longtime Representative David Scott, triggering a special election. In the July 28 special general election, Democratic candidates combined for over 86% of the vote, advancing Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. to the August 25 runoff while Republicans received under 14% combined. The district's voter composition, consistent with prior cycles where Democratic nominees prevailed by wide margins, underpins the 96.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner. With the runoff occurring in nine days and no Republican on the ballot, the outcome hinges on Democratic primary dynamics rather than partisan competition. Rare developments such as a significant candidate withdrawal, disqualifying scandal, or unforeseen legal intervention could theoretically reopen the race, though historical patterns in similar safe-seat special elections show minimal volatility once intra-party contests are settled.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,319Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the April 2026 death of longtime Representative David Scott, triggering a special election. In the July 28 special general election, Democratic candidates combined for over 86% of the vote, advancing Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. to the August 25 runoff while Republicans received under 14% combined. The district's voter composition, consistent with prior cycles where Democratic nominees prevailed by wide margins, underpins the 96.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner. With the runoff occurring in nine days and no Republican on the ballot, the outcome hinges on Democratic primary dynamics rather than partisan competition. Rare developments such as a significant candidate withdrawal, disqualifying scandal, or unforeseen legal intervention could theoretically reopen the race, though historical patterns in similar safe-seat special elections show minimal volatility once intra-party contests are settled.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,319Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the April 2026 death of longtime Representative David Scott, triggering a special election. In the July 28 special general election, Democratic candidates combined for over 86% of the vote, advancing Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. to the August 25 runoff while Republicans received under 14% combined. The district's voter composition, consistent with prior cycles where Democratic nominees prevailed by wide margins, underpins the 96.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner. With the runoff occurring in nine days and no Republican on the ballot, the outcome hinges on Democratic primary dynamics rather than partisan competition. Rare developments such as a significant candidate withdrawal, disqualifying scandal, or unforeseen legal intervention could theoretically reopen the race, though historical patterns in similar safe-seat special elections show minimal volatility once intra-party contests are settled.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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